Traders see 84-85°F edging 82-83°F as the top outcomes for the NYC high on August 3 because short-range model guidance and ensemble runs cluster around a peak near 84°F amid light showers and partial cloud cover that limit full solar heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks note warmer-than-average August conditions overall, with a seasonal mean high of 83°F at Central Park, while current diurnal patterns and regional moisture suggest the maximum will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s rather than pushing into the upper range. Key variables differentiating the close bins include forecast adjustments to precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation, all of which can shift the observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月3日紐約市的最高溫度？
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 22%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 37%
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 22%
78-79°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
73°F or below
$5 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$49 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$50 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$39 交易量
8%
80-81°F
$79 交易量
22%
82-83°F
$85 交易量
32%
84-85°F
$134 交易量
37%
86-87°F
$87 交易量
7%
88-89°F
$60 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$45 交易量
1%
92°F or higher
$40 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 84-85°F edging 82-83°F as the top outcomes for the NYC high on August 3 because short-range model guidance and ensemble runs cluster around a peak near 84°F amid light showers and partial cloud cover that limit full solar heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks note warmer-than-average August conditions overall, with a seasonal mean high of 83°F at Central Park, while current diurnal patterns and regional moisture suggest the maximum will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s rather than pushing into the upper range. Key variables differentiating the close bins include forecast adjustments to precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation, all of which can shift the observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$674結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 84-85°F edging 82-83°F as the top outcomes for the NYC high on August 3 because short-range model guidance and ensemble runs cluster around a peak near 84°F amid light showers and partial cloud cover that limit full solar heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks note warmer-than-average August conditions overall, with a seasonal mean high of 83°F at Central Park, while current diurnal patterns and regional moisture suggest the maximum will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s rather than pushing into the upper range. Key variables differentiating the close bins include forecast adjustments to precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation, all of which can shift the observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$674結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTraders see 84-85°F edging 82-83°F as the top outcomes for the NYC high on August 3 because short-range model guidance and ensemble runs cluster around a peak near 84°F amid light showers and partial cloud cover that limit full solar heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks note warmer-than-average August conditions overall, with a seasonal mean high of 83°F at Central Park, while current diurnal patterns and regional moisture suggest the maximum will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s rather than pushing into the upper range. Key variables differentiating the close bins include forecast adjustments to precipitation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation, all of which can shift the observed high by a degree or two before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions