Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 90–92°F for Miami on August 3 under partly sunny skies with a 40–60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Typical early-August subtropical conditions—warm Gulf and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 85°F, high boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze convergence—favor scattered convection that can either cap daytime maxima or allow brief spikes depending on timing and coverage. With the two leading bins (90–91°F and 92–93°F) separated by only 1.5 percentage points, traders are pricing the narrow difference in convective initiation and steering flow that determines whether peak readings occur before or after storm development. Historical August normals near 88–91°F and recent heat-advisory conditions underscore the modest upside risk captured in lower-probability bins above 94°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月3日邁阿密的最高溫度？
90-91°F 44%
92-93°F 35%
88-89°F 14%
華氏94-95度 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
35%
華氏94-95度
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F或更高
<1%
90-91°F 44%
92-93°F 35%
88-89°F 14%
華氏94-95度 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
華氏81度或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$336 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$27 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$170 交易量
8%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
14%
90-91°F
$32 交易量
44%
92-93°F
$15 交易量
35%
華氏94-95度
$221 交易量
6%
96-97°F
$23 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
1%
100°F或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 90–92°F for Miami on August 3 under partly sunny skies with a 40–60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Typical early-August subtropical conditions—warm Gulf and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 85°F, high boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze convergence—favor scattered convection that can either cap daytime maxima or allow brief spikes depending on timing and coverage. With the two leading bins (90–91°F and 92–93°F) separated by only 1.5 percentage points, traders are pricing the narrow difference in convective initiation and steering flow that determines whether peak readings occur before or after storm development. Historical August normals near 88–91°F and recent heat-advisory conditions underscore the modest upside risk captured in lower-probability bins above 94°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$824結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 90–92°F for Miami on August 3 under partly sunny skies with a 40–60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Typical early-August subtropical conditions—warm Gulf and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 85°F, high boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze convergence—favor scattered convection that can either cap daytime maxima or allow brief spikes depending on timing and coverage. With the two leading bins (90–91°F and 92–93°F) separated by only 1.5 percentage points, traders are pricing the narrow difference in convective initiation and steering flow that determines whether peak readings occur before or after storm development. Historical August normals near 88–91°F and recent heat-advisory conditions underscore the modest upside risk captured in lower-probability bins above 94°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$824結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 90–92°F for Miami on August 3 under partly sunny skies with a 40–60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Typical early-August subtropical conditions—warm Gulf and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 85°F, high boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze convergence—favor scattered convection that can either cap daytime maxima or allow brief spikes depending on timing and coverage. With the two leading bins (90–91°F and 92–93°F) separated by only 1.5 percentage points, traders are pricing the narrow difference in convective initiation and steering flow that determines whether peak readings occur before or after storm development. Historical August normals near 88–91°F and recent heat-advisory conditions underscore the modest upside risk captured in lower-probability bins above 94°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions