Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot day with a forecast high near 101°F in Dallas on August 3, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 98–103°F bins. Typical late-summer radiative heating under clear skies and weak southerly flow supports temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average of 96–100°F, while limited moisture and minimal cloud cover reduce cooling effects. Minor forecast spread arises from subtle differences in model handling of boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, keeping probabilities distributed across adjacent ranges rather than concentrated on one outcome. Updated model runs and the final NWS forecast tonight will provide the last refinements before the official daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日達拉斯的最高溫度?
100-101°F 36%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 28%
104-105°F 7%
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
30%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
2%
100-101°F 36%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 28%
104-105°F 7%
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
30%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot day with a forecast high near 101°F in Dallas on August 3, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 98–103°F bins. Typical late-summer radiative heating under clear skies and weak southerly flow supports temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average of 96–100°F, while limited moisture and minimal cloud cover reduce cooling effects. Minor forecast spread arises from subtle differences in model handling of boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, keeping probabilities distributed across adjacent ranges rather than concentrated on one outcome. Updated model runs and the final NWS forecast tonight will provide the last refinements before the official daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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