Traders see 33–34°C as the most likely range for Panama City’s August 3 maximum because ensemble model guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with moderate instability and scattered afternoon convection that limits extreme heating. In Panama’s tropical climate, the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains high humidity and cloud cover, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light steering winds favor highs clustered around the 32°C August climatological average. Minor differences among the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as timing and coverage of thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave ridging that could briefly enhance insolation. With resolution depending on official station readings, the tight spread among probabilities reflects uncertainty in these small-scale variables just 24 hours ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
34°C 36%
33°C 34%
32°C 26%
31°C 7%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
26%
33°C
34%
34°C
36%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
34°C 36%
33°C 34%
32°C 26%
31°C 7%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
26%
33°C
34%
34°C
36%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see 33–34°C as the most likely range for Panama City’s August 3 maximum because ensemble model guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with moderate instability and scattered afternoon convection that limits extreme heating. In Panama’s tropical climate, the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains high humidity and cloud cover, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light steering winds favor highs clustered around the 32°C August climatological average. Minor differences among the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as timing and coverage of thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave ridging that could briefly enhance insolation. With resolution depending on official station readings, the tight spread among probabilities reflects uncertainty in these small-scale variables just 24 hours ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions