Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a moderately mixed marine layer of roughly 1,000–1,800 feet over the Bay Area on July 24, with persistent onshore westerlies and cool Pacific waters suppressing maximum temperatures near the July climatological mean of 68°F. Trader consensus favoring the 68–69°F and 70–71°F brackets reflects tight model clustering around modest afternoon warming under high pressure, tempered by uncertainty in layer depth and wind strength overnight. A shallower inversion or reduced onshore flow could allow peaks in the low 70s, while renewed stratus or stronger sea breeze would anchor readings in the mid-to-upper 60s. Final resolution hinges on official observations at the San Francisco International Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山7月24日的最高溫度?
68-69°F 33%
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 13%
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F或更高
<1%
68-69°F 33%
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 13%
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a moderately mixed marine layer of roughly 1,000–1,800 feet over the Bay Area on July 24, with persistent onshore westerlies and cool Pacific waters suppressing maximum temperatures near the July climatological mean of 68°F. Trader consensus favoring the 68–69°F and 70–71°F brackets reflects tight model clustering around modest afternoon warming under high pressure, tempered by uncertainty in layer depth and wind strength overnight. A shallower inversion or reduced onshore flow could allow peaks in the low 70s, while renewed stratus or stronger sea breeze would anchor readings in the mid-to-upper 60s. Final resolution hinges on official observations at the San Francisco International Airport station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions