Recent Korea Meteorological Administration and international model consensus indicate a primary driver of persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining surface temperatures near 34–36°C across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 4, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include variable afternoon convective instability that could cap peaks through cloud cover or brief showers, Incheon coastal sea-breeze moderation versus Seoul’s urban heat-island enhancement, and elevated boundary-layer humidity from residual monsoon moisture. Historical August analogs show similar late-summer variability, with official daily-max resolution at the Incheon station sensitive to exact timing of any destabilization. Updated model runs through August 3 remain the next key data point for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月4日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
34°C 29%
35°C 25%
36°C 23%
33°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
20%
34°C
29%
35°C
25%
36°C
23%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 29%
35°C 25%
36°C 23%
33°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
28°C or below
$71 交易量
<1%
29°C
$54 交易量
1%
30°C
$100 交易量
1%
31°C
$103 交易量
2%
32°C
$122 交易量
5%
33°C
$81 交易量
20%
34°C
$63 交易量
29%
35°C
$34 交易量
25%
36°C
$197 交易量
23%
37°C
$298 交易量
5%
38°C or higher
$22 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration and international model consensus indicate a primary driver of persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining surface temperatures near 34–36°C across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 4, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include variable afternoon convective instability that could cap peaks through cloud cover or brief showers, Incheon coastal sea-breeze moderation versus Seoul’s urban heat-island enhancement, and elevated boundary-layer humidity from residual monsoon moisture. Historical August analogs show similar late-summer variability, with official daily-max resolution at the Incheon station sensitive to exact timing of any destabilization. Updated model runs through August 3 remain the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,144結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration and international model consensus indicate a primary driver of persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining surface temperatures near 34–36°C across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 4, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include variable afternoon convective instability that could cap peaks through cloud cover or brief showers, Incheon coastal sea-breeze moderation versus Seoul’s urban heat-island enhancement, and elevated boundary-layer humidity from residual monsoon moisture. Historical August analogs show similar late-summer variability, with official daily-max resolution at the Incheon station sensitive to exact timing of any destabilization. Updated model runs through August 3 remain the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,144結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Korea Meteorological Administration and international model consensus indicate a primary driver of persistent subtropical high pressure sustaining surface temperatures near 34–36°C across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 4, consistent with the closely bunched market-implied probabilities. Key differentiating factors include variable afternoon convective instability that could cap peaks through cloud cover or brief showers, Incheon coastal sea-breeze moderation versus Seoul’s urban heat-island enhancement, and elevated boundary-layer humidity from residual monsoon moisture. Historical August analogs show similar late-summer variability, with official daily-max resolution at the Incheon station sensitive to exact timing of any destabilization. Updated model runs through August 3 remain the next key data point for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions