Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22 in a narrow band around 25–26 °C, producing the closely matched market-implied odds. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with light onshore flow and possible scattered afternoon cloud cover, limits peak diurnal heating and keeps outcomes clustered near seasonal averages. Minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift explain the slim preference for 26 °C over 25 °C, while probabilities drop sharply outside 24–27 °C. Updated runs and official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service tomorrow evening will determine the final recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22?
26°C 38%
25°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
37%
26°C
38%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
3%
26°C 38%
25°C 37%
27°C 12%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
19°C or below
$402 交易量
<1%
20°C
$334 交易量
2%
21°C
$156 交易量
1%
22°C
$535 交易量
2%
23°C
$11 交易量
3%
24°C
$94 交易量
9%
25°C
$204 交易量
37%
26°C
$141 交易量
38%
27°C
$91 交易量
12%
28°C
$47 交易量
5%
29°C or higher
$40 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22 in a narrow band around 25–26 °C, producing the closely matched market-implied odds. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with light onshore flow and possible scattered afternoon cloud cover, limits peak diurnal heating and keeps outcomes clustered near seasonal averages. Minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift explain the slim preference for 26 °C over 25 °C, while probabilities drop sharply outside 24–27 °C. Updated runs and official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service tomorrow evening will determine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$2,048結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22 in a narrow band around 25–26 °C, producing the closely matched market-implied odds. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with light onshore flow and possible scattered afternoon cloud cover, limits peak diurnal heating and keeps outcomes clustered near seasonal averages. Minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift explain the slim preference for 26 °C over 25 °C, while probabilities drop sharply outside 24–27 °C. Updated runs and official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service tomorrow evening will determine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,048結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 22 in a narrow band around 25–26 °C, producing the closely matched market-implied odds. Coastal moderation from the Mediterranean, combined with light onshore flow and possible scattered afternoon cloud cover, limits peak diurnal heating and keeps outcomes clustered near seasonal averages. Minor differences in model timing of any weak trough or wind shift explain the slim preference for 26 °C over 25 °C, while probabilities drop sharply outside 24–27 °C. Updated runs and official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service tomorrow evening will determine the final recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions