Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 4 will likely reach 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supported by a warm anomaly across central Europe and above-average North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around these thresholds, with 35 °C possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. Historical August extremes near 30 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine peak values ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日華沙的最高溫度？
8月4日華沙的最高溫度？
33°C 29%
34°C 24%
32°C 20%
35°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
14%
33°C
29%
34°C
24%
35°C
15%
36°C或更高
4%
33°C 29%
34°C 24%
32°C 20%
35°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$10 交易量
1%
29°C
$10 交易量
1%
30°C
$20 交易量
2%
31°C
$1 交易量
10%
32°C
$10 交易量
14%
33°C
$3 交易量
29%
34°C
$0 交易量
24%
35°C
$0 交易量
15%
36°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 4 will likely reach 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supported by a warm anomaly across central Europe and above-average North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around these thresholds, with 35 °C possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. Historical August extremes near 30 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$54結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 4 will likely reach 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supported by a warm anomaly across central Europe and above-average North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around these thresholds, with 35 °C possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. Historical August extremes near 30 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 4 will likely reach 33–34 °C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supported by a warm anomaly across central Europe and above-average North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around these thresholds, with 35 °C possible only if daytime heating exceeds current guidance. Historical August extremes near 30 °C provide context, yet the current pattern favors the upper end of the typical range. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine peak values ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions