Recent numerical weather prediction models and seasonal climatology for Zhengzhou indicate daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on August 18 under typical summer conditions of warm, humid air masses with possible cloud cover or light showers. August averages around 31°C, supported by observational baselines from the China Meteorological Administration, with current model runs showing limited cooling potential from modest precipitation or mixing. This underpins the market-implied 100% consensus for 32°C or higher as the aggregated trader assessment of likely station readings. Stronger-than-forecast rain or enhanced cloud cover could realistically cap the high near 30°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent regional warmth and short remaining forecast window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月18日鄭州氣溫最高？
8月18日鄭州氣溫最高？
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,146 交易量
$2,146 交易量
2026-08-18
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,146 交易量
$2,146 交易量
2026-08-18
22°C or below
$110 交易量
No
23°C
$110 交易量
No
24°C
$100 交易量
No
25°C
$110 交易量
No
26°C
$116 交易量
No
27°C
$136 交易量
No
28°C
$241 交易量
No
29°C
$70 交易量
No
30°C
$381 交易量
No
31°C
$252 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$520 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and seasonal climatology for Zhengzhou indicate daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on August 18 under typical summer conditions of warm, humid air masses with possible cloud cover or light showers. August averages around 31°C, supported by observational baselines from the China Meteorological Administration, with current model runs showing limited cooling potential from modest precipitation or mixing. This underpins the market-implied 100% consensus for 32°C or higher as the aggregated trader assessment of likely station readings. Stronger-than-forecast rain or enhanced cloud cover could realistically cap the high near 30°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent regional warmth and short remaining forecast window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,146結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and seasonal climatology for Zhengzhou indicate daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on August 18 under typical summer conditions of warm, humid air masses with possible cloud cover or light showers. August averages around 31°C, supported by observational baselines from the China Meteorological Administration, with current model runs showing limited cooling potential from modest precipitation or mixing. This underpins the market-implied 100% consensus for 32°C or higher as the aggregated trader assessment of likely station readings. Stronger-than-forecast rain or enhanced cloud cover could realistically cap the high near 30°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent regional warmth and short remaining forecast window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,146結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models and seasonal climatology for Zhengzhou indicate daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on August 18 under typical summer conditions of warm, humid air masses with possible cloud cover or light showers. August averages around 31°C, supported by observational baselines from the China Meteorological Administration, with current model runs showing limited cooling potential from modest precipitation or mixing. This underpins the market-implied 100% consensus for 32°C or higher as the aggregated trader assessment of likely station readings. Stronger-than-forecast rain or enhanced cloud cover could realistically cap the high near 30°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent regional warmth and short remaining forecast window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions