Official meteorological stations in Zhengzhou recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limited further diurnal heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain, where typical highs range 24–29°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative forcing. Real-time model consensus and surface observations converged on this value, driving the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100%. Late revisions to official maxima or unrepresentative microclimate readings remain theoretically possible but unlikely given consistent multi-station data and the close of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日鄭州氣溫最高？
9月12日鄭州氣溫最高？
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,401 交易量
$5,401 交易量
2026-09-12
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,401 交易量
$5,401 交易量
2026-09-12
22°C或以下
$654 交易量
否
23°C
$55 交易量
否
24°C
$296 交易量
否
25°C
$442 交易量
否
26°C
$449 交易量
否
27°C
$759 交易量
是
28°C
$397 交易量
否
29°C
$735 交易量
否
30°C
$1,364 交易量
否
31°C
$65 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$185 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations in Zhengzhou recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limited further diurnal heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain, where typical highs range 24–29°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative forcing. Real-time model consensus and surface observations converged on this value, driving the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100%. Late revisions to official maxima or unrepresentative microclimate readings remain theoretically possible but unlikely given consistent multi-station data and the close of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,401結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations in Zhengzhou recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limited further diurnal heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain, where typical highs range 24–29°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative forcing. Real-time model consensus and surface observations converged on this value, driving the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100%. Late revisions to official maxima or unrepresentative microclimate readings remain theoretically possible but unlikely given consistent multi-station data and the close of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,401結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological stations in Zhengzhou recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limited further diurnal heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain, where typical highs range 24–29°C absent strong advection or clear-sky radiative forcing. Real-time model consensus and surface observations converged on this value, driving the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100%. Late revisions to official maxima or unrepresentative microclimate readings remain theoretically possible but unlikely given consistent multi-station data and the close of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions