Republicans enter the 2026 cycle holding 26 governorships against Democrats’ 24, with 36 states contesting seats evenly split between the parties’ defenses. Five Democratic-held seats lie in states carried by President Trump in 2024, while Republicans defend just two in Harris-won states, creating symmetric exposure. Open seats in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Alaska, plus vulnerable incumbents in Nevada and Wisconsin, introduce volatility that forecasters rate as toss-ups or leans. Recent polling and rating shifts highlight local factors such as affordability and agriculture alongside any national midterm environment. These dynamics sustain trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors, with separation likely hinging on outcomes in a handful of battlegrounds before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於22–23 29%
24–25 27%
少於22 21%
26–27 17%
$694,200 交易量
$694,200 交易量
2026-11-02
少於22
21%
22–23
29%
24–25
27%
26–27
17%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 29%
24–25 27%
少於22 21%
26–27 17%
$694,200 交易量
$694,200 交易量
2026-11-02
少於22
$49,730 交易量
21%
22–23
$9,767 交易量
29%
24–25
$34,235 交易量
27%
26–27
$18,172 交易量
17%
28–29
$558,125 交易量
5%
30–31
$8,476 交易量
1%
32+
$15,694 交易量
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans enter the 2026 cycle holding 26 governorships against Democrats’ 24, with 36 states contesting seats evenly split between the parties’ defenses. Five Democratic-held seats lie in states carried by President Trump in 2024, while Republicans defend just two in Harris-won states, creating symmetric exposure. Open seats in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Alaska, plus vulnerable incumbents in Nevada and Wisconsin, introduce volatility that forecasters rate as toss-ups or leans. Recent polling and rating shifts highlight local factors such as affordability and agriculture alongside any national midterm environment. These dynamics sustain trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors, with separation likely hinging on outcomes in a handful of battlegrounds before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
交易量
$694,200結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans enter the 2026 cycle holding 26 governorships against Democrats’ 24, with 36 states contesting seats evenly split between the parties’ defenses. Five Democratic-held seats lie in states carried by President Trump in 2024, while Republicans defend just two in Harris-won states, creating symmetric exposure. Open seats in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Alaska, plus vulnerable incumbents in Nevada and Wisconsin, introduce volatility that forecasters rate as toss-ups or leans. Recent polling and rating shifts highlight local factors such as affordability and agriculture alongside any national midterm environment. These dynamics sustain trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors, with separation likely hinging on outcomes in a handful of battlegrounds before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$694,200結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETRepublicans enter the 2026 cycle holding 26 governorships against Democrats’ 24, with 36 states contesting seats evenly split between the parties’ defenses. Five Democratic-held seats lie in states carried by President Trump in 2024, while Republicans defend just two in Harris-won states, creating symmetric exposure. Open seats in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and Alaska, plus vulnerable incumbents in Nevada and Wisconsin, introduce volatility that forecasters rate as toss-ups or leans. Recent polling and rating shifts highlight local factors such as affordability and agriculture alongside any national midterm environment. These dynamics sustain trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors, with separation likely hinging on outcomes in a handful of battlegrounds before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions