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icon for 愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

艾希莉·欣森 97.4%

約書亞·史密斯 1.8%

吉姆·卡林 1.4%

約翰·伯曼 <1%

Polymarket

$19,225 交易量

艾希莉·欣森 97.4%

約書亞·史密斯 1.8%

吉姆·卡林 1.4%

約翰·伯曼 <1%

Polymarket

$19,225 交易量

艾希莉·欣森

$13,784 交易量

97%

約書亞·史密斯

$3,829 交易量

2%

吉姆·卡林

$851 交易量

1%

約翰·伯曼

$761 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley Hinson holds a commanding lead in the June 2 Iowa Republican Senate primary, backed by endorsements from retiring Sen. Joni Ernst, President Trump, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune, along with a substantial fundraising edge over challenger Jim Carlin. As the sitting representative for Iowa’s 2nd congressional district, Hinson benefits from high name recognition and alignment with party priorities on taxes and affordability ahead of the open-seat contest. Traders reflect this consensus through her near-certain implied probability. A late shift could still occur if Carlin mobilizes strong turnout in rural counties or if an unforeseen event such as a major policy dispute or health-related development alters the final weeks of campaigning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$19,225
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ashley Hinson holds a commanding lead in the June 2 Iowa Republican Senate primary, backed by endorsements from retiring Sen. Joni Ernst, President Trump, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune, along with a substantial fundraising edge over challenger Jim Carlin. As the sitting representative for Iowa’s 2nd congressional district, Hinson benefits from high name recognition and alignment with party priorities on taxes and affordability ahead of the open-seat contest. Traders reflect this consensus through her near-certain implied probability. A late shift could still occur if Carlin mobilizes strong turnout in rural counties or if an unforeseen event such as a major policy dispute or health-related development alters the final weeks of campaigning.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$19,225
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "艾希莉·欣森" at 97%, followed by "約書亞·史密斯" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $19.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "艾希莉·欣森" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約書亞·史密斯" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "愛荷華州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.