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政治·主要

堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者
政治·主要

堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

亞當·漢密爾頓 87%

桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼 4.5%

Patrick Schmidt 3.7%

Sharice Davids 1.3%

Polymarket

$129,683 交易量

亞當·漢密爾頓 87%

桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼 4.5%

Patrick Schmidt 3.7%

Sharice Davids 1.3%

Polymarket

$129,683 交易量

亞當·漢密爾頓

$5,788 交易量

87%

桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼

$33,882 交易量

5%

Patrick Schmidt

$19,197 交易量

4%

Sharice Davids

$5,403 交易量

1%

Christy Davis

$36,161 交易量

1%

凱文·拉茨

$1,384 交易量

1%

達蒙·安德森

$1,004 交易量

1%

傑森·哈特

$1,640 交易量

<1%

邁克爾·索塔特

$3,691 交易量

<1%

Erik Murray

$1,483 交易量

<1%

安妮·帕雷卡

$18,846 交易量

<1%

諾亞·泰勒

$1,204 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Adam Hamilton’s rapid emergence as the frontrunner in the August 4 Kansas Democratic Senate primary has shaped trader consensus, with the market pricing him at an 86.5 percent implied probability. The prominent Methodist pastor announced his candidacy on April 30 and quickly raised more than one million dollars, giving him early financial and name-recognition advantages over a crowded field that includes former USDA official Christy Davis, state Senator Patrick Schmidt, and several lesser-known challengers. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have occurred since mid-May, leaving Hamilton’s early organizational edge as the dominant factor reflected in current pricing. The primary winner will face Republican incumbent Roger Marshall in November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$129,683
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Adam Hamilton’s rapid emergence as the frontrunner in the August 4 Kansas Democratic Senate primary has shaped trader consensus, with the market pricing him at an 86.5 percent implied probability. The prominent Methodist pastor announced his candidacy on April 30 and quickly raised more than one million dollars, giving him early financial and name-recognition advantages over a crowded field that includes former USDA official Christy Davis, state Senator Patrick Schmidt, and several lesser-known challengers. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have occurred since mid-May, leaving Hamilton’s early organizational edge as the dominant factor reflected in current pricing. The primary winner will face Republican incumbent Roger Marshall in November.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$129,683
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞當·漢密爾頓" at 87%, followed by "桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $129.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "亞當·漢密爾頓" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "桑迪·斯皮德爾·紐曼" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "堪薩斯州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.