The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 94%
5-9 2.3%
10-14 1.4%
15-19 1.1%
$11,970 交易量
$11,970 交易量
2026-05-19
<5
94%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 94%
5-9 2.3%
10-14 1.4%
15-19 1.1%
$11,970 交易量
$11,970 交易量
2026-05-19
<5
$2,331 交易量
94%
5-9
$2,064 交易量
2%
10-14
$981 交易量
1%
15-19
$1,493 交易量
1%
20-24
$946 交易量
1%
25-29
$401 交易量
1%
30-34
$458 交易量
1%
35-39
$443 交易量
<1%
40-44
$596 交易量
<1%
45-49
$484 交易量
1%
50-54
$498 交易量
1%
55-59
$609 交易量
<1%
60+
$666 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
交易量
$11,970結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$11,970結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Supreme Leader of Iran issues public statements through his verified social media account at irregular intervals, often separated by several days or more, reflecting institutional preferences for selective messaging on foreign policy and ideological topics. This established pattern of low-volume output explains the market's overwhelming consensus on fewer than five posts during the May 12–19 window. Recent activity through mid-May shows no surge tied to major diplomatic developments or domestic events, keeping volumes aligned with historical baselines. Only an unforeseen escalation in regional tensions or a high-profile announcement would realistically increase activity before the period ends, though such triggers remain absent from current verified developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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