Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Khamenei # posts 2026年5月15日至5月22日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年5月15日至5月22日？
＜5 49%
5-9 8%
55-59 6.4%
10-14 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
＜5
49%
5-9
26%
10-14
22%
15-19
22%
20-24
16%
25-29
22%
30-34
20%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
26%
55-59
6%
60+
<1%
＜5 49%
5-9 8%
55-59 6.4%
10-14 1.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
＜5
$297 交易量
49%
5-9
$81 交易量
26%
10-14
$90 交易量
22%
15-19
$63 交易量
22%
20-24
$59 交易量
16%
25-29
$59 交易量
22%
30-34
$120 交易量
20%
35-39
$88 交易量
1%
40-44
$190 交易量
1%
45-49
$120 交易量
1%
50-54
$197 交易量
26%
55-59
$179 交易量
6%
60+
$338 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$1,879結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,879結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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