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政治·主要

KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者

Ralph Alvarado 99.2%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Adam Perez Arquette <1%

Gavin Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$25,281 交易量

Ralph Alvarado 99.2%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Adam Perez Arquette <1%

Gavin Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$25,281 交易量

Ralph Alvarado

$11,369 交易量

99%

Greg Plucinski

$1,055 交易量

1%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,987 交易量

1%

Gavin Solomon

$1,949 交易量

<1%

Ryan Dotson

$8,921 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ralph Alvarado holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky Republican primary for the 6th Congressional District, scheduled for May 19, as trader consensus reflects his strong positioning ahead of the vote. Key factors include President Trump’s May 1 endorsement highlighting Alvarado’s alignment on economic growth, border security, and energy policy, along with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement for his pro-business record. The recent withdrawal of Adam Perez Arquette, who endorsed Alvarado on May 13, has further consolidated support among remaining challengers such as state Representative Ryan Dotson and businessman Greg Plucinski. Alvarado’s prior service in the Kentucky Senate and as Tennessee health commissioner provides established name recognition in the district. While the frontrunner appears positioned for a decisive outcome, shifts could still arise from last-minute developments or unusually high turnout among other candidates’ bases in the final days before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$25,281
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ralph Alvarado holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky Republican primary for the 6th Congressional District, scheduled for May 19, as trader consensus reflects his strong positioning ahead of the vote. Key factors include President Trump’s May 1 endorsement highlighting Alvarado’s alignment on economic growth, border security, and energy policy, along with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement for his pro-business record. The recent withdrawal of Adam Perez Arquette, who endorsed Alvarado on May 13, has further consolidated support among remaining challengers such as state Representative Ryan Dotson and businessman Greg Plucinski. Alvarado’s prior service in the Kentucky Senate and as Tennessee health commissioner provides established name recognition in the district. While the frontrunner appears positioned for a decisive outcome, shifts could still arise from last-minute developments or unusually high turnout among other candidates’ bases in the final days before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$25,281
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ralph Alvarado" at 99%, followed by "Greg Plucinski" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $25.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Ralph Alvarado" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greg Plucinski" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.