The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral runoff between incumbent Karen Bass and Councilmember Nithya Raman remains closely contested, with trader pricing reflecting high uncertainty from one-third of likely voters still undecided after the June primary. Recent Berkeley IGS polling showed Raman ahead 39-28 percent, driven by strong youth support and Bass's elevated unfavorability amid concerns over homelessness trends and emergency response. However, the large pool of former Spencer Pratt primary voters and differing internal surveys keep the outcome fluid heading into mail ballot distribution and the November 3 vote. Campaign spending, turnout among older demographics where Bass holds an edge, and last-minute shifts among undecideds could narrow or widen the margin in either direction.