Current forecast models and observational data for Jeddah on August 21 indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 31°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions including high humidity from Red Sea moisture, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 93.5% implied probability for 31°C as the daily minimum, reflecting trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and recent August observations showing minima mostly between 29–31°C amid a +2.3°C temperature anomaly above the 32.8°C monthly normal. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include stronger winds or increased cloudiness enhancing cooling, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of dropping below 30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月21日的最低溫度?
31°C 94%
29°C 32%
30°C 12%
28°C 8%
$1,501 交易量
$1,501 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
12%
31°C
94%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 94%
29°C 32%
30°C 12%
28°C 8%
$1,501 交易量
$1,501 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
12%
31°C
94%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models and observational data for Jeddah on August 21 indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 31°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions including high humidity from Red Sea moisture, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's 93.5% implied probability for 31°C as the daily minimum, reflecting trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns and recent August observations showing minima mostly between 29–31°C amid a +2.3°C temperature anomaly above the 32.8°C monthly normal. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include stronger winds or increased cloudiness enhancing cooling, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of dropping below 30°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions