**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22**, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the city’s typical midsummer climate. Jinan, located in Shandong province, experiences average August nighttime lows of 21–24°C driven by warm, humid air masses under the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project overnight lows near 23–26°C for the date, supported by current regional patterns of stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Historical data from sources such as WeatherSpark show that temperatures rarely dip below 20°C in late August absent unusual cooling events. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include a sudden influx of cooler northerly air or prolonged heavy rainfall, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日濟南最低氣溫？
8月22日濟南最低氣溫？
22°C或以上 93%
12°C或以下 79%
19°C 51%
20°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
12°C或以下
79%
13°C
44%
14°C
41%
15°C
37%
16°C
38%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
51%
20°C
51%
21°C
51%
22°C或以上
93%
22°C或以上 93%
12°C或以下 79%
19°C 51%
20°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
12°C或以下
$10 交易量
79%
13°C
$10 交易量
44%
14°C
$10 交易量
41%
15°C
$10 交易量
37%
16°C
$10 交易量
38%
17°C
$10 交易量
50%
18°C
$10 交易量
50%
19°C
$10 交易量
51%
20°C
$10 交易量
51%
21°C
$10 交易量
51%
22°C或以上
$279 交易量
93%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22**, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the city’s typical midsummer climate. Jinan, located in Shandong province, experiences average August nighttime lows of 21–24°C driven by warm, humid air masses under the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project overnight lows near 23–26°C for the date, supported by current regional patterns of stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Historical data from sources such as WeatherSpark show that temperatures rarely dip below 20°C in late August absent unusual cooling events. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include a sudden influx of cooler northerly air or prolonged heavy rainfall, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model agreement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$379結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22**, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the city’s typical midsummer climate. Jinan, located in Shandong province, experiences average August nighttime lows of 21–24°C driven by warm, humid air masses under the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project overnight lows near 23–26°C for the date, supported by current regional patterns of stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Historical data from sources such as WeatherSpark show that temperatures rarely dip below 20°C in late August absent unusual cooling events. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include a sudden influx of cooler northerly air or prolonged heavy rainfall, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model agreement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$379結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22**, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting the city’s typical midsummer climate. Jinan, located in Shandong province, experiences average August nighttime lows of 21–24°C driven by warm, humid air masses under the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project overnight lows near 23–26°C for the date, supported by current regional patterns of stable high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Historical data from sources such as WeatherSpark show that temperatures rarely dip below 20°C in late August absent unusual cooling events. Scenarios that could realistically alter this outcome include a sudden influx of cooler northerly air or prolonged heavy rainfall, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model agreement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions