Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including IMGW and GFS runs indicates an overnight low near 16°C for Warsaw on August 21, driven by post-frontal cooling, southeasterly winds shifting westerly, and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs reached 26–27°C. Observed early-morning readings hovered at 18–19°C before the diurnal minimum, with surface pressure near 1007–1009 hPa and dew points supporting modest humidity. Trader consensus at 98% for 16°C reflects this model agreement and historical August norms of 14–17°C minima, though a faster wind shift or clearer skies could allow a dip toward 14–15°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日華沙的最低溫度？
8月21日華沙的最低溫度？
16°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$4,807 交易量
$4,807 交易量
2026-08-21
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$4,807 交易量
$4,807 交易量
2026-08-21
12°C或以下
$956 交易量
否
13°C
$269 交易量
否
14°C
$245 交易量
否
15°C
$235 交易量
否
16°C
$424 交易量
是
17°C
$1,970 交易量
否
18°C
$153 交易量
否
19°C
$129 交易量
否
20°C
$133 交易量
否
21°C
$133 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$160 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including IMGW and GFS runs indicates an overnight low near 16°C for Warsaw on August 21, driven by post-frontal cooling, southeasterly winds shifting westerly, and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs reached 26–27°C. Observed early-morning readings hovered at 18–19°C before the diurnal minimum, with surface pressure near 1007–1009 hPa and dew points supporting modest humidity. Trader consensus at 98% for 16°C reflects this model agreement and historical August norms of 14–17°C minima, though a faster wind shift or clearer skies could allow a dip toward 14–15°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$4,807結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including IMGW and GFS runs indicates an overnight low near 16°C for Warsaw on August 21, driven by post-frontal cooling, southeasterly winds shifting westerly, and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs reached 26–27°C. Observed early-morning readings hovered at 18–19°C before the diurnal minimum, with surface pressure near 1007–1009 hPa and dew points supporting modest humidity. Trader consensus at 98% for 16°C reflects this model agreement and historical August norms of 14–17°C minima, though a faster wind shift or clearer skies could allow a dip toward 14–15°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,807結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including IMGW and GFS runs indicates an overnight low near 16°C for Warsaw on August 21, driven by post-frontal cooling, southeasterly winds shifting westerly, and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs reached 26–27°C. Observed early-morning readings hovered at 18–19°C before the diurnal minimum, with surface pressure near 1007–1009 hPa and dew points supporting modest humidity. Trader consensus at 98% for 16°C reflects this model agreement and historical August norms of 14–17°C minima, though a faster wind shift or clearer skies could allow a dip toward 14–15°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions