Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination with an overwhelming primary victory and maintains a commanding position in the November 2026 general election against Republican Dan Cox, who advanced from a crowded GOP field. Maryland's consistent Democratic lean, combined with Moore's substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing a 58-31 percent lead among likely voters, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Cox's prior statewide defeat in 2022 further limits his appeal in a state where Democratic governors have retained office without interruption since 1934. A major unforeseen scandal, sharp deterioration in state economic conditions, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,105 交易量
$22,105 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
97%
共和黨
3%
$22,105 交易量
$22,105 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$13,007 交易量
97%
共和黨
$9,098 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination with an overwhelming primary victory and maintains a commanding position in the November 2026 general election against Republican Dan Cox, who advanced from a crowded GOP field. Maryland's consistent Democratic lean, combined with Moore's substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing a 58-31 percent lead among likely voters, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Cox's prior statewide defeat in 2022 further limits his appeal in a state where Democratic governors have retained office without interruption since 1934. A major unforeseen scandal, sharp deterioration in state economic conditions, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$22,105結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination with an overwhelming primary victory and maintains a commanding position in the November 2026 general election against Republican Dan Cox, who advanced from a crowded GOP field. Maryland's consistent Democratic lean, combined with Moore's substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing a 58-31 percent lead among likely voters, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Cox's prior statewide defeat in 2022 further limits his appeal in a state where Democratic governors have retained office without interruption since 1934. A major unforeseen scandal, sharp deterioration in state economic conditions, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$22,105結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination with an overwhelming primary victory and maintains a commanding position in the November 2026 general election against Republican Dan Cox, who advanced from a crowded GOP field. Maryland's consistent Democratic lean, combined with Moore's substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing a 58-31 percent lead among likely voters, has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Cox's prior statewide defeat in 2022 further limits his appeal in a state where Democratic governors have retained office without interruption since 1934. A major unforeseen scandal, sharp deterioration in state economic conditions, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though current indicators show limited pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions