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選舉·主要

ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者

$10,205 交易量

Polymarket

$10,205 交易量

Paul LePage

$6,854 交易量

97%

詹姆斯·克拉克

$3,352 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Maine Governor Paul LePage maintains a commanding lead in the June 9 Republican primary for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting his strong name recognition, prior statewide executive experience, and endorsement from former President Trump. Army veteran James Clark’s withdrawal after the March filing deadline left LePage as the sole remaining candidate, consolidating trader consensus around the frontrunner well ahead of primary day. Historical patterns show high name recognition and party endorsements typically lock in primary victories in low-turnout contests like this one. Late-breaking developments such as a surprise entrant, health-related withdrawal, or major scandal before June 9 remain the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$10,205
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Maine Governor Paul LePage maintains a commanding lead in the June 9 Republican primary for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting his strong name recognition, prior statewide executive experience, and endorsement from former President Trump. Army veteran James Clark’s withdrawal after the March filing deadline left LePage as the sole remaining candidate, consolidating trader consensus around the frontrunner well ahead of primary day. Historical patterns show high name recognition and party endorsements typically lock in primary victories in low-turnout contests like this one. Late-breaking developments such as a surprise entrant, health-related withdrawal, or major scandal before June 9 remain the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$10,205
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul LePage" at 97%, followed by "詹姆斯·克拉克" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Paul LePage" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "詹姆斯·克拉克" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ME-02共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.