Recent polling has positioned Abdul El-Sayed as the clear frontrunner in Michigan’s August 4 Democratic Senate primary for the open seat created by incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement, with trader consensus reflecting his gains in surveys released in early May. El-Sayed has built momentum through strong small-dollar fundraising and generational appeal among younger voters, pulling ahead of state Senator Mallory McMorrow and U.S. Representative Haley Stevens in head-to-head matchups. McMorrow maintains solid grassroots support and cash reserves but trails in recent ballot tests, while Stevens faces questions over slower fundraising and limited recent polling gains. The three-way contest remains fluid with undecided voters still comprising a sizable share, though El-Sayed’s upward trajectory in May surveys has driven the widest implied probability margin among active candidates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德 56%
馬洛里·麥克莫羅 28%
哈利·史蒂文斯 12.8%
達娜·奈塞爾 <1%
$553,893 交易量
$553,893 交易量
阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德
56%
馬洛里·麥克莫羅
28%
哈利·史蒂文斯
13%
達娜·奈塞爾
<1%
拉希達·特萊比
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
克莉絲汀·麥當勞·里維特
<1%
安迪·萊文
<1%
馬特·薩爾
<1%
阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德 56%
馬洛里·麥克莫羅 28%
哈利·史蒂文斯 12.8%
達娜·奈塞爾 <1%
$553,893 交易量
$553,893 交易量
阿卜杜勒·埃爾-賽義德
56%
馬洛里·麥克莫羅
28%
哈利·史蒂文斯
13%
達娜·奈塞爾
<1%
拉希達·特萊比
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
克莉絲汀·麥當勞·里維特
<1%
安迪·萊文
<1%
馬特·薩爾
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling has positioned Abdul El-Sayed as the clear frontrunner in Michigan’s August 4 Democratic Senate primary for the open seat created by incumbent Gary Peters’ retirement, with trader consensus reflecting his gains in surveys released in early May. El-Sayed has built momentum through strong small-dollar fundraising and generational appeal among younger voters, pulling ahead of state Senator Mallory McMorrow and U.S. Representative Haley Stevens in head-to-head matchups. McMorrow maintains solid grassroots support and cash reserves but trails in recent ballot tests, while Stevens faces questions over slower fundraising and limited recent polling gains. The three-way contest remains fluid with undecided voters still comprising a sizable share, though El-Sayed’s upward trajectory in May surveys has driven the widest implied probability margin among active candidates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions