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政治·主要

新墨西哥州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for 新墨西哥州州長民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

新墨西哥州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Deb Haaland 93%

薩姆·布雷格曼 8%

宮城島健 <1%

Polymarket

$27,273 交易量

Deb Haaland 93%

薩姆·布雷格曼 8%

宮城島健 <1%

Polymarket

$27,273 交易量

Deb Haaland

$11,486 交易量

93%

薩姆·布雷格曼

$12,551 交易量

8%

宮城島健

$3,236 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Deb Haaland's commanding position in the New Mexico Democratic primary for governor stems from her high name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary and U.S. Representative, combined with consistent polling leads of 16 to 20 points over Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent surveys highlight her advantages among women, college-educated voters, and registered Democrats, alongside stronger fundraising and institutional backing within the party. Bregman's focus on public safety and repeated debate challenges has not closed the gap, while Ken Miyagishima remains a marginal factor after withdrawing. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Haaland reflects these structural edges, though final-week turnout shifts or unexpected late developments could still alter the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$27,273
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Deb Haaland's commanding position in the New Mexico Democratic primary for governor stems from her high name recognition as former U.S. Interior Secretary and U.S. Representative, combined with consistent polling leads of 16 to 20 points over Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent surveys highlight her advantages among women, college-educated voters, and registered Democrats, alongside stronger fundraising and institutional backing within the party. Bregman's focus on public safety and repeated debate challenges has not closed the gap, while Ken Miyagishima remains a marginal factor after withdrawing. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Haaland reflects these structural edges, though final-week turnout shifts or unexpected late developments could still alter the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$27,273
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"新墨西哥州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Deb Haaland" at 93%, followed by "薩姆·布雷格曼" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "新墨西哥州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $27.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "新墨西哥州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "新墨西哥州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Deb Haaland" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "薩姆·布雷格曼" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "新墨西哥州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.