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選舉·主要

紐約州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for 紐約州州長共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·主要

紐約州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

布魯斯·布萊克曼 95%

伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克 2.2%

帕特·哈恩 2.0%

貝琪·麥考伊 <1%

Polymarket

$90,583 交易量

布魯斯·布萊克曼 95%

伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克 2.2%

帕特·哈恩 2.0%

貝琪·麥考伊 <1%

Polymarket

$90,583 交易量

布魯斯·布萊克曼

$13,019 交易量

95%

伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克

$11,733 交易量

2%

帕特·哈恩

$2,865 交易量

2%

貝琪·麥考伊

$21,886 交易量

1%

大衛·塔利

$41,081 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bruce Blakeman secured the Republican nomination for New York governor after Elise Stefanik withdrew from the race in December 2025, prompting President Trump to endorse Blakeman the following day. The state GOP then formally designated him as its nominee at the February 2026 convention, and the June 23 primary was subsequently canceled, leaving only minor candidates on the ballot. These developments consolidated party support behind the Nassau County executive and eliminated any competitive path for challengers. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds could shift only if unexpected developments such as a late legal challenge to the nomination or a major scandal alter the outcome before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$90,583
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Bruce Blakeman secured the Republican nomination for New York governor after Elise Stefanik withdrew from the race in December 2025, prompting President Trump to endorse Blakeman the following day. The state GOP then formally designated him as its nominee at the February 2026 convention, and the June 23 primary was subsequently canceled, leaving only minor candidates on the ballot. These developments consolidated party support behind the Nassau County executive and eliminated any competitive path for challengers. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds could shift only if unexpected developments such as a late legal challenge to the nomination or a major scandal alter the outcome before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$90,583
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "布魯斯·布萊克曼" at 95%, followed by "伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐約州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $90.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐約州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "布魯斯·布萊克曼" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.