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icon for 波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那的下一任波士尼亞總統？
選舉·波士尼亞與赫塞哥維納

波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那的下一任波士尼亞總統？

icon for 波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那的下一任波士尼亞總統？
選舉·波士尼亞與赫塞哥維納

波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那的下一任波士尼亞總統？

Denis Bećirović 50%

巴基爾·伊澤特貝戈維奇 39%

Semir Efendić 12%

Polymarket

$12,118 交易量

Denis Bećirović 50%

巴基爾·伊澤特貝戈維奇 39%

Semir Efendić 12%

Polymarket

$12,118 交易量

icon for Denis Bećirović

Denis Bećirović

$4,468 交易量

50%

icon for 巴基爾·伊澤特貝戈維奇

巴基爾·伊澤特貝戈維奇

$4,089 交易量

39%

icon for Semir Efendić

Semir Efendić

$3,561 交易量

12%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović maintains a narrow lead in the race for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Bosniak presidency seat ahead of the October 2026 general election, buoyed by his incumbency advantage and recent service as the country’s rotating chair of the UN Security Council. This positioning reflects trader consensus on his established national profile and cross-entity visibility. Bakir Izetbegović’s late candidacy announcement on behalf of the Party of Democratic Action has reintroduced competition rooted in the party’s historical Bosniak base, though ongoing fragmentation within the community limits unified mobilization. Semir Efendić, as mayor of Novi Grad Sarajevo and leader of the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina, draws support from urban voters but trails amid a split field. These dynamics underscore how incumbency, party structures, and recent diplomatic exposure continue to shape implied probabilities in this closely contested contest.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,118
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović maintains a narrow lead in the race for Bosnia and Herzegovina’s Bosniak presidency seat ahead of the October 2026 general election, buoyed by his incumbency advantage and recent service as the country’s rotating chair of the UN Security Council. This positioning reflects trader consensus on his established national profile and cross-entity visibility. Bakir Izetbegović’s late candidacy announcement on behalf of the Party of Democratic Action has reintroduced competition rooted in the party’s historical Bosniak base, though ongoing fragmentation within the community limits unified mobilization. Semir Efendić, as mayor of Novi Grad Sarajevo and leader of the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina, draws support from urban voters but trails amid a split field. These dynamics underscore how incumbency, party structures, and recent diplomatic exposure continue to shape implied probabilities in this closely contested contest.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,118
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那的下一任波士尼亞總統？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Denis Bećirović" at 50%, followed by "巴基爾·伊澤特貝戈維奇" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那的下一任波士尼亞總統？" has generated $12.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那的下一任波士尼亞總統？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那的下一任波士尼亞總統？" is "Denis Bećirović" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "巴基爾·伊澤特貝戈維奇" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "波斯尼亞和黑塞哥維那的下一任波士尼亞總統？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.