Google's repeated delays of the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then slipped past a July window—have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward no release by August 31. Recent July releases focused on lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite for agentic workloads, while official statements describe the Pro model only as "coming soon" after partner testing, with no confirmed timeline or API endpoint. Ongoing internal work, including Gemini 4 training, and the absence of any late-August signals reinforce the market's strong skepticism about an imminent launch.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於No release by August 31 86.1%
August 27 4.8%
August 26 3.9%
August 31 3.6%
$267,405 交易量
$267,405 交易量
August 17
1%
August 18
1%
August 19
1%
August 20
1%
August 21
1%
August 22
<1%
August 23
1%
August 24
1%
August 25
1%
August 26
4%
August 27
5%
August 28
1%
August 29
<1%
August 30
<1%
August 31
4%
No release by August 31
86%
No release by August 31 86.1%
August 27 4.8%
August 26 3.9%
August 31 3.6%
$267,405 交易量
$267,405 交易量
August 17
1%
August 18
1%
August 19
1%
August 20
1%
August 21
1%
August 22
<1%
August 23
1%
August 24
1%
August 25
1%
August 26
4%
August 27
5%
August 28
1%
August 29
<1%
August 30
<1%
August 31
4%
No release by August 31
86%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays of the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then slipped past a July window—have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward no release by August 31. Recent July releases focused on lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite for agentic workloads, while official statements describe the Pro model only as "coming soon" after partner testing, with no confirmed timeline or API endpoint. Ongoing internal work, including Gemini 4 training, and the absence of any late-August signals reinforce the market's strong skepticism about an imminent launch.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions