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選舉·新喀裏多尼亞選舉

新喀裏多尼亞下任總統

icon for 新喀裏多尼亞下任總統
選舉·新喀裏多尼亞選舉

新喀裏多尼亞下任總統

阿爾西德·龐加 54%

索尼婭·巴克斯 19%

約翰尼托·瓦米坦 7%

維珍妮·魯赫納克 5.2%

Polymarket

$13,874 交易量

阿爾西德·龐加 54%

索尼婭·巴克斯 19%

約翰尼托·瓦米坦 7%

維珍妮·魯赫納克 5.2%

Polymarket

$13,874 交易量

icon for 阿爾西德·龐加

阿爾西德·龐加

$7,678 交易量

54%

icon for 索尼婭·巴克斯

索尼婭·巴克斯

$1,830 交易量

19%

icon for 約翰尼托·瓦米坦

約翰尼托·瓦米坦

$276 交易量

7%

icon for 維珍妮·魯赫納克

維珍妮·魯赫納克

$196 交易量

5%

icon for 皮埃爾·香奈兒·圖圖戈羅

皮埃爾·香奈兒·圖圖戈羅

$2,030 交易量

5%

icon for 路易·馬普

路易·馬普

$223 交易量

4%

icon for 保羅·內奧蒂內

保羅·內奧蒂內

$219 交易量

4%

icon for 帕斯卡·薩瓦

帕斯卡·薩瓦

$203 交易量

3%

icon for 尼古拉斯·梅茨多夫

尼古拉斯·梅茨多夫

$148 交易量

3%

icon for 讓·皮埃爾·贾韋

讓·皮埃爾·贾韋

$206 交易量

3%

icon for 克里斯多福·吉耶斯

克里斯多福·吉耶斯

$206 交易量

2%

icon for 米拉庫洛·圖庫穆利

米拉庫洛·圖庫穆利

$205 交易量

2%

icon for 吉爾·布里亞爾

吉爾·布里亞爾

$205 交易量

1%

icon for 吉爾伯特·特尤伊農

吉爾伯特·特尤伊農

$251 交易量

1%

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 28 provincial elections, which will determine the makeup of New Caledonia’s Congress and its next government president, remain highly fragmented with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority. Recent voter-roll adjustments, the rejection of the Bougival Accord by key independence groups, and lingering effects of the 2024 unrest have kept loyalist and pro-independence lists competitive across provinces. Incumbent Alcide Ponga’s current administration provides continuity for some traders, while multiple lists headed by figures such as Sonia Backès, Virginie Ruffenach, Louis Mapou, and Pierre-Chanel Tutugoro reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and the collegial selection process for the government president. With polls just days away and post-election talks scheduled for July, the balanced pricing captures uncertainty over final seat distributions and potential cross-bloc deals.

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,874
結束日期
2027-06-30
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 28 provincial elections, which will determine the makeup of New Caledonia’s Congress and its next government president, remain highly fragmented with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority. Recent voter-roll adjustments, the rejection of the Bougival Accord by key independence groups, and lingering effects of the 2024 unrest have kept loyalist and pro-independence lists competitive across provinces. Incumbent Alcide Ponga’s current administration provides continuity for some traders, while multiple lists headed by figures such as Sonia Backès, Virginie Ruffenach, Louis Mapou, and Pierre-Chanel Tutugoro reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and the collegial selection process for the government president. With polls just days away and post-election talks scheduled for July, the balanced pricing captures uncertainty over final seat distributions and potential cross-bloc deals.

The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,874
結束日期
2027-06-30
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 9:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"新喀裏多尼亞下任總統" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "阿爾西德·龐加" at 54%, followed by "索尼婭·巴克斯" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "新喀裏多尼亞下任總統" has generated $13.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "新喀裏多尼亞下任總統," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "新喀裏多尼亞下任總統" is "阿爾西德·龐加" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "索尼婭·巴克斯" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "新喀裏多尼亞下任總統" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.