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政治·羅馬尼亞

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
政治·羅馬尼亞

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Delia Velculescu 34.1%

Șerban Matei 18.4%

Sorin Grindeanu 10%

拉杜·布爾內特 9%

Polymarket

$593,986 交易量

Delia Velculescu 34.1%

Șerban Matei 18.4%

Sorin Grindeanu 10%

拉杜·布爾內特 9%

Polymarket

$593,986 交易量

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$15,270 交易量

34%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$18,948 交易量

18%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$70,123 交易量

10%

icon for 拉杜·布爾內特

拉杜·布爾內特

$19,671 交易量

9%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$66,065 交易量

6%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$19,506 交易量

3%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$14,855 交易量

3%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$12,914 交易量

3%

icon for 丹·莫特雷亞努

丹·莫特雷亞努

$11,592 交易量

2%

icon for 亞歷山德魯·納扎雷

亞歷山德魯·納扎雷

$5,054 交易量

2%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$60,849 交易量

1%

icon for 亞歷山德魯·羅戈貝特

亞歷山德魯·羅戈貝特

$10,751 交易量

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$12,153 交易量

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$29,436 交易量

1%

icon for 奇普里安·丘库

奇普里安·丘库

$969 交易量

1%

icon for 卡林·喬治斯庫

卡林·喬治斯庫

$9,570 交易量

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$11,081 交易量

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$16,895 交易量

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$12,256 交易量

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$11,829 交易量

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$12,536 交易量

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$12,629 交易量

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$36,584 交易量

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$13,867 交易量

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$12,742 交易量

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$16,996 交易量

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$13,158 交易量

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$12,397 交易量

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$9,511 交易量

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$14,083 交易量

<1%

icon for 胡諾爾·凱萊門

胡諾爾·凱萊門

$8,829 交易量

<1%

icon for 特拉揚·貝塞斯庫

特拉揚·貝塞斯庫

$864 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan on May 5 has fractured Romania’s governing coalition and elevated technocratic or independent figures in trader assessments for the next prime minister. President Nicușor Dan’s consultations with parliamentary groups emphasize the need for a stable pro-European majority capable of advancing fiscal reforms and unlocking EU funds, creating openings for non-partisan economists with international experience such as Delia Velculescu. Other contenders from major parties trail amid ongoing coalition negotiations, while the June 30 resolution timeline keeps focus on who can secure parliamentary confidence without triggering early elections. This setup reflects the market’s pricing of a closely contested process shaped by immediate fiscal pressures and institutional requirements for government formation.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$593,986
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan on May 5 has fractured Romania’s governing coalition and elevated technocratic or independent figures in trader assessments for the next prime minister. President Nicușor Dan’s consultations with parliamentary groups emphasize the need for a stable pro-European majority capable of advancing fiscal reforms and unlocking EU funds, creating openings for non-partisan economists with international experience such as Delia Velculescu. Other contenders from major parties trail amid ongoing coalition negotiations, while the June 30 resolution timeline keeps focus on who can secure parliamentary confidence without triggering early elections. This setup reflects the market’s pricing of a closely contested process shaped by immediate fiscal pressures and institutional requirements for government formation.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$593,986
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Delia Velculescu" at 34%, followed by "Șerban Matei" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" has generated $594K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is "Delia Velculescu" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Șerban Matei" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.