North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area in August 2026, on the 6th and 12th, according to South Korean, Japanese, and U.S. assessments. These tests occurred days ahead of the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint military exercises between the U.S. and South Korea, which Pyongyang routinely condemns as provocative. Trader consensus currently prices 3+ tests at 56% and exactly 2 at 43.5%, reflecting the established pattern of increased North Korean missile activity during or immediately around such drills. With roughly two weeks remaining in the month and no further launches reported since August 12, market positioning hinges on whether ongoing exercises or related diplomatic signals prompt additional tests before month-end. Historical precedent shows Pyongyang often uses these periods for signaling amid regional tensions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$66,466 交易量
$66,466 交易量
2026-08-31
2
44%
3+
55%
$66,466 交易量
$66,466 交易量
2026-08-31
2
$13,045 交易量
44%
3+
$18,508 交易量
55%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area in August 2026, on the 6th and 12th, according to South Korean, Japanese, and U.S. assessments. These tests occurred days ahead of the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint military exercises between the U.S. and South Korea, which Pyongyang routinely condemns as provocative. Trader consensus currently prices 3+ tests at 56% and exactly 2 at 43.5%, reflecting the established pattern of increased North Korean missile activity during or immediately around such drills. With roughly two weeks remaining in the month and no further launches reported since August 12, market positioning hinges on whether ongoing exercises or related diplomatic signals prompt additional tests before month-end. Historical precedent shows Pyongyang often uses these periods for signaling amid regional tensions.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
交易量
$66,466結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area in August 2026, on the 6th and 12th, according to South Korean, Japanese, and U.S. assessments. These tests occurred days ahead of the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint military exercises between the U.S. and South Korea, which Pyongyang routinely condemns as provocative. Trader consensus currently prices 3+ tests at 56% and exactly 2 at 43.5%, reflecting the established pattern of increased North Korean missile activity during or immediately around such drills. With roughly two weeks remaining in the month and no further launches reported since August 12, market positioning hinges on whether ongoing exercises or related diplomatic signals prompt additional tests before month-end. Historical precedent shows Pyongyang often uses these periods for signaling amid regional tensions.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
交易量
$66,466結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area in August 2026, on the 6th and 12th, according to South Korean, Japanese, and U.S. assessments. These tests occurred days ahead of the Ulchi Freedom Shield joint military exercises between the U.S. and South Korea, which Pyongyang routinely condemns as provocative. Trader consensus currently prices 3+ tests at 56% and exactly 2 at 43.5%, reflecting the established pattern of increased North Korean missile activity during or immediately around such drills. With roughly two weeks remaining in the month and no further launches reported since August 12, market positioning hinges on whether ongoing exercises or related diplomatic signals prompt additional tests before month-end. Historical precedent shows Pyongyang often uses these periods for signaling amid regional tensions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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