North Korea’s irregular testing cadence, with multiple ballistic missile launches recorded across January through June 2026 including tactical systems and cluster-munition variants, keeps probabilities for zero, one, or three-plus tests in August closely aligned. Traders weigh Pyongyang’s pattern of intermittent weapons evaluations under Kim Jong Un against the absence of announced major drills or immediate regional triggers at month-end. Early detections of launches, KCNA reports on new warhead or guidance tests, or shifts tied to U.S.-South Korea exercises could quickly widen gaps by clarifying whether activity aligns with prior monthly averages or escalates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於<1 49%
1 47%
3+ 47%
2 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
<1
49%
1
47%
2
25%
3+
47%
<1 49%
1 47%
3+ 47%
2 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
<1
$20 交易量
49%
1
$20 交易量
47%
2
$15 交易量
25%
3+
$20 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s irregular testing cadence, with multiple ballistic missile launches recorded across January through June 2026 including tactical systems and cluster-munition variants, keeps probabilities for zero, one, or three-plus tests in August closely aligned. Traders weigh Pyongyang’s pattern of intermittent weapons evaluations under Kim Jong Un against the absence of announced major drills or immediate regional triggers at month-end. Early detections of launches, KCNA reports on new warhead or guidance tests, or shifts tied to U.S.-South Korea exercises could quickly widen gaps by clarifying whether activity aligns with prior monthly averages or escalates.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
交易量
$75結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea’s irregular testing cadence, with multiple ballistic missile launches recorded across January through June 2026 including tactical systems and cluster-munition variants, keeps probabilities for zero, one, or three-plus tests in August closely aligned. Traders weigh Pyongyang’s pattern of intermittent weapons evaluations under Kim Jong Un against the absence of announced major drills or immediate regional triggers at month-end. Early detections of launches, KCNA reports on new warhead or guidance tests, or shifts tied to U.S.-South Korea exercises could quickly widen gaps by clarifying whether activity aligns with prior monthly averages or escalates.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
交易量
$75結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea’s irregular testing cadence, with multiple ballistic missile launches recorded across January through June 2026 including tactical systems and cluster-munition variants, keeps probabilities for zero, one, or three-plus tests in August closely aligned. Traders weigh Pyongyang’s pattern of intermittent weapons evaluations under Kim Jong Un against the absence of announced major drills or immediate regional triggers at month-end. Early detections of launches, KCNA reports on new warhead or guidance tests, or shifts tied to U.S.-South Korea exercises could quickly widen gaps by clarifying whether activity aligns with prior monthly averages or escalates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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