Trader consensus currently assigns N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas the strongest position in the June 16, 2026, Oklahoma Democratic U.S. Senate primary at 52 percent, reflecting her active grassroots outreach as a nurse, mother, and Chickasaw citizen, including recent engagement with college Democrats and support from progressive organizations. Jim Priest follows at 21 percent on the strength of his profile as a civil rights lawyer and former nonprofit executive, with targeted county-level events building visibility after the April 3 filing deadline. Troy Green at 12 percent draws on his background as a foster-care survivor and human-trafficking investigator, while Rebekah LaVann remains marginal at 2.4 percent following limited visibility. With no public polling available, the market reflects trader assessments of campaign momentum in this open-seat contest for the seat vacated by Markwayne Mullin. A runoff on August 25 remains possible if no candidate reaches a majority.