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政治·主要

PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者

Chris Rabb 60.9%

Sharif Street 36%

阿拉·斯坦福 2.8%

大衛·奧克斯曼 <1%

Polymarket

$49,628 交易量

Chris Rabb 60.9%

Sharif Street 36%

阿拉·斯坦福 2.8%

大衛·奧克斯曼 <1%

Polymarket

$49,628 交易量

Chris Rabb

$10,706 交易量

51%

Sharif Street

$12,119 交易量

31%

阿拉·斯坦福

$7,367 交易量

3%

大衛·奧克斯曼

$6,499 交易量

1%

摩根·塞法斯

$3,073 交易量

<1%

Gabriel Caceres

$5,165 交易量

<1%

Robin Toldens

$4,699 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Chris Rabb holds a 56% trader consensus in the PA-03 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19 vote to replace retiring incumbent Dwight Evans, with state Sen. Sharif Street at 31.5% and Dr. Ala Stanford at 2.8%. Rabb’s lead reflects his strong cash-on-hand advantage, unapologetically progressive platform, and consistent endorsements from left-leaning groups, while Street benefits from labor union support and name recognition tied to his legislative record and former role as Pennsylvania Democratic Party chair. Recent candidate debates have highlighted differences on Gaza policy and fundraising strength, yet the absence of public polling leaves the race sensitive to last-minute shifts in turnout among Philadelphia’s Democratic base. Minor candidates trail far behind as the field has narrowed.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$49,628
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Chris Rabb holds a 56% trader consensus in the PA-03 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19 vote to replace retiring incumbent Dwight Evans, with state Sen. Sharif Street at 31.5% and Dr. Ala Stanford at 2.8%. Rabb’s lead reflects his strong cash-on-hand advantage, unapologetically progressive platform, and consistent endorsements from left-leaning groups, while Street benefits from labor union support and name recognition tied to his legislative record and former role as Pennsylvania Democratic Party chair. Recent candidate debates have highlighted differences on Gaza policy and fundraising strength, yet the absence of public polling leaves the race sensitive to last-minute shifts in turnout among Philadelphia’s Democratic base. Minor candidates trail far behind as the field has narrowed.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$49,628
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Rabb" at 51%, followed by "Sharif Street" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $49.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Chris Rabb" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sharif Street" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.