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icon for 祕魯總統選舉第一輪：第三名
政治·全球選舉

祕魯總統選舉第一輪：第三名

icon for 祕魯總統選舉第一輪：第三名
政治·全球選舉

祕魯總統選舉第一輪：第三名

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 100.0%

藤森惠子 <1%

荷西·盧納 <1%

費奧雷拉·莫利內利 <1%

Polymarket

$1,144,420 交易量

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 100.0%

藤森惠子 <1%

荷西·盧納 <1%

費奧雷拉·莫利內利 <1%

Polymarket

$1,144,420 交易量

icon for 藤森惠子

藤森惠子

$30,639 交易量

否

icon for 荷西·盧納

荷西·盧納

$26,675 交易量

否

icon for 費奧雷拉·莫利內利

費奧雷拉·莫利內利

$24,072 交易量

否

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$67,108 交易量

否

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$26,659 交易量

否

icon for 沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

$22,633 交易量

否

icon for 費爾南多·奧利韋拉

費爾南多·奧利韋拉

$25,941 交易量

否

icon for 卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

$31,807 交易量

否

icon for 阿方索·洛佩斯·喬

阿方索·洛佩斯·喬

$29,022 交易量

否

icon for 喬治·福塞思

喬治·福塞思

$27,974 交易量

否

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$25,060 交易量

否

icon for 梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

$24,630 交易量

否

icon for 豪爾赫·涅托

豪爾赫·涅托

$147,379 交易量

否

icon for 塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

$23,284 交易量

否

icon for 羅伯托·奇亞布拉

羅伯托·奇亞布拉

$22,904 交易量

否

icon for 卡洛斯·埃斯帕

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$25,190 交易量

否

icon for 瑪莉索·佩雷斯·特略

瑪莉索·佩雷斯·特略

$22,347 交易量

否

icon for 羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$184,243 交易量

否

icon for 拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加

$259,503 交易量

是

icon for 馬里奧·維斯卡拉

馬里奧·維斯卡拉

$21,254 交易量

否

icon for 弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

$24,594 交易量

否

icon for 何塞·威廉斯

何塞·威廉斯

$22,988 交易量

否

icon for 拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·利奧薩

拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·利奧薩

$28,513 交易量

否

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding market position for third place in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote because the near-complete official tally places him narrowly behind Roberto Sánchez for the runoff spot. Early counts briefly showed López Aliaga ahead, yet the final figures with more than 99 percent of ballots processed confirm Fujimori in first, Sánchez in second, and López Aliaga third by roughly 13,000 votes. Sánchez’s late surge among left-leaning voters and the absence of any successful legal challenges to the results have locked in this ordering. While López Aliaga has alleged irregularities and called for annulment, electoral authorities and observers have found no evidence to alter the certified outcome ahead of the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$1,144,420
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding market position for third place in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote because the near-complete official tally places him narrowly behind Roberto Sánchez for the runoff spot. Early counts briefly showed López Aliaga ahead, yet the final figures with more than 99 percent of ballots processed confirm Fujimori in first, Sánchez in second, and López Aliaga third by roughly 13,000 votes. Sánchez’s late surge among left-leaning voters and the absence of any successful legal challenges to the results have locked in this ordering. While López Aliaga has alleged irregularities and called for annulment, electoral authorities and observers have found no evidence to alter the certified outcome ahead of the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$1,144,420
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"祕魯總統選舉第一輪：第三名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加" at 100%, followed by "藤森惠子" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "祕魯總統選舉第一輪：第三名" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "祕魯總統選舉第一輪：第三名," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪：第三名" is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "藤森惠子" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "祕魯總統選舉第一輪：第三名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.