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icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

2% 機率
Polymarket
最新
2% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator Ruben Gallego continues serving as Arizona’s junior senator without any public statements, health disclosures, or party signals pointing to an early exit. Active engagement in recent Senate work, including bipartisan legislation on veterans’ access to emerging technology training introduced in mid-May, underscores his ongoing role following his January 2025 swearing-in. The 98 percent trader consensus on “No” aligns with the absence of resignation precedents, ethics resolutions, or external appointments that have prompted other senators to depart mid-term. While the outcome remains subject to rapid change, only an unforeseen personal event or unexpected executive nomination within the next two weeks could realistically shift the timeline before May 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,649
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator Ruben Gallego continues serving as Arizona’s junior senator without any public statements, health disclosures, or party signals pointing to an early exit. Active engagement in recent Senate work, including bipartisan legislation on veterans’ access to emerging technology training introduced in mid-May, underscores his ongoing role following his January 2025 swearing-in. The 98 percent trader consensus on “No” aligns with the absence of resignation precedents, ethics resolutions, or external appointments that have prompted other senators to depart mid-term. While the outcome remains subject to rapid change, only an unforeseen personal event or unexpected executive nomination within the next two weeks could realistically shift the timeline before May 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,649
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 2% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 2¢, the market collectively assigns a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" is 2% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.