Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Geneva in mid-February 2026 marked the latest structured diplomatic effort between Russia and Ukraine, focusing on humanitarian issues and de-escalation mechanisms, yet follow-up sessions scheduled for March were postponed amid shifting regional priorities. Russian officials have since indicated that resuming direct negotiations is not a current priority, while Ukrainian leaders have called for renewed sessions to address territorial and security guarantees. A brief ceasefire observed around Russia’s May 9 Victory Day commemorations ended amid mutual violation claims, with continued strikes on energy infrastructure and front-line positions. No high-level bilateral meeting between the two sides has occurred since early 2025, and upcoming developments hinge on whether sustained U.S. facilitation or battlefield shifts prompt new rounds within any near-term window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$151,980 交易量
2026-12-31
May 31
2%
June 30
28%
December 31
71%
$151,980 交易量
May 31
$74,029 交易量
2%
June 30
$28,230 交易量
28%
December 31
$49,721 交易量
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Geneva in mid-February 2026 marked the latest structured diplomatic effort between Russia and Ukraine, focusing on humanitarian issues and de-escalation mechanisms, yet follow-up sessions scheduled for March were postponed amid shifting regional priorities. Russian officials have since indicated that resuming direct negotiations is not a current priority, while Ukrainian leaders have called for renewed sessions to address territorial and security guarantees. A brief ceasefire observed around Russia’s May 9 Victory Day commemorations ended amid mutual violation claims, with continued strikes on energy infrastructure and front-line positions. No high-level bilateral meeting between the two sides has occurred since early 2025, and upcoming developments hinge on whether sustained U.S. facilitation or battlefield shifts prompt new rounds within any near-term window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
交易量
$151,980結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Geneva in mid-February 2026 marked the latest structured diplomatic effort between Russia and Ukraine, focusing on humanitarian issues and de-escalation mechanisms, yet follow-up sessions scheduled for March were postponed amid shifting regional priorities. Russian officials have since indicated that resuming direct negotiations is not a current priority, while Ukrainian leaders have called for renewed sessions to address territorial and security guarantees. A brief ceasefire observed around Russia’s May 9 Victory Day commemorations ended amid mutual violation claims, with continued strikes on energy infrastructure and front-line positions. No high-level bilateral meeting between the two sides has occurred since early 2025, and upcoming developments hinge on whether sustained U.S. facilitation or battlefield shifts prompt new rounds within any near-term window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$151,980結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks in Geneva in mid-February 2026 marked the latest structured diplomatic effort between Russia and Ukraine, focusing on humanitarian issues and de-escalation mechanisms, yet follow-up sessions scheduled for March were postponed amid shifting regional priorities. Russian officials have since indicated that resuming direct negotiations is not a current priority, while Ukrainian leaders have called for renewed sessions to address territorial and security guarantees. A brief ceasefire observed around Russia’s May 9 Victory Day commemorations ended amid mutual violation claims, with continued strikes on energy infrastructure and front-line positions. No high-level bilateral meeting between the two sides has occurred since early 2025, and upcoming developments hinge on whether sustained U.S. facilitation or battlefield shifts prompt new rounds within any near-term window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions