US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States last occurred in Geneva on February 17–18, 2026, focusing on practical issues including prisoner exchanges and de-escalation mechanisms. Negotiations have remained stalled since then, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stating in mid-April that resuming talks is not Moscow’s priority amid ongoing territorial disputes over Donbas. A short-term ceasefire observed around Russia’s Victory Day in early May saw mutual violation claims, while recent Russian strikes on Kyiv and Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian energy sites have continued. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly called for renewed high-level engagement, yet core disagreements over land and security guarantees persist without scheduled follow-up meetings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$151,953 交易量
2026-12-31
May 31
2%
June 30
28%
December 31
71%
$151,953 交易量
May 31
$74,018 交易量
2%
June 30
$28,217 交易量
28%
December 31
$49,719 交易量
71%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States last occurred in Geneva on February 17–18, 2026, focusing on practical issues including prisoner exchanges and de-escalation mechanisms. Negotiations have remained stalled since then, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stating in mid-April that resuming talks is not Moscow’s priority amid ongoing territorial disputes over Donbas. A short-term ceasefire observed around Russia’s Victory Day in early May saw mutual violation claims, while recent Russian strikes on Kyiv and Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian energy sites have continued. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly called for renewed high-level engagement, yet core disagreements over land and security guarantees persist without scheduled follow-up meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
交易量
$151,953結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States last occurred in Geneva on February 17–18, 2026, focusing on practical issues including prisoner exchanges and de-escalation mechanisms. Negotiations have remained stalled since then, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stating in mid-April that resuming talks is not Moscow’s priority amid ongoing territorial disputes over Donbas. A short-term ceasefire observed around Russia’s Victory Day in early May saw mutual violation claims, while recent Russian strikes on Kyiv and Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian energy sites have continued. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly called for renewed high-level engagement, yet core disagreements over land and security guarantees persist without scheduled follow-up meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$151,953結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States last occurred in Geneva on February 17–18, 2026, focusing on practical issues including prisoner exchanges and de-escalation mechanisms. Negotiations have remained stalled since then, with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stating in mid-April that resuming talks is not Moscow’s priority amid ongoing territorial disputes over Donbas. A short-term ceasefire observed around Russia’s Victory Day in early May saw mutual violation claims, while recent Russian strikes on Kyiv and Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian energy sites have continued. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has repeatedly called for renewed high-level engagement, yet core disagreements over land and security guarantees persist without scheduled follow-up meetings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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