Elevated energy prices driven by Middle East tensions and surging gasoline costs remain the dominant near-term driver of September 2026 CPI expectations, following August's hotter-than-forecast 0.4% monthly headline rise and 0.3% core gain. These factors, alongside trade frictions and rising consumer inflation expectations, have kept market-implied odds for a 0.5% monthly print at 31%, with a broad distribution reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through versus potential offsets from softening goods prices or shelter moderation. The August data, released just ahead of the September FOMC meeting, has reinforced trader focus on persistent services inflation and any spillover effects into core measures, while the Cleveland Fed nowcast and recent PPI strength add to the range of outcomes priced in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.5% 31%
0.6% 18%
0.7% 16%
0.4% 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
5%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
12%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
15%
0.5%
31%
0.6%
18%
0.7%
16%
≥0.8%
12%
0.5% 31%
0.6% 18%
0.7% 16%
0.4% 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
$50 交易量
5%
0.1%
$20 交易量
5%
0.2%
$20 交易量
12%
0.3%
$20 交易量
5%
0.4%
$20 交易量
15%
0.5%
$390 交易量
31%
0.6%
$20 交易量
18%
0.7%
$20 交易量
16%
≥0.8%
$376 交易量
12%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Elevated energy prices driven by Middle East tensions and surging gasoline costs remain the dominant near-term driver of September 2026 CPI expectations, following August's hotter-than-forecast 0.4% monthly headline rise and 0.3% core gain. These factors, alongside trade frictions and rising consumer inflation expectations, have kept market-implied odds for a 0.5% monthly print at 31%, with a broad distribution reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through versus potential offsets from softening goods prices or shelter moderation. The August data, released just ahead of the September FOMC meeting, has reinforced trader focus on persistent services inflation and any spillover effects into core measures, while the Cleveland Fed nowcast and recent PPI strength add to the range of outcomes priced in.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
交易量
$932結束日期
2026-10-15市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETThis is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Elevated energy prices driven by Middle East tensions and surging gasoline costs remain the dominant near-term driver of September 2026 CPI expectations, following August's hotter-than-forecast 0.4% monthly headline rise and 0.3% core gain. These factors, alongside trade frictions and rising consumer inflation expectations, have kept market-implied odds for a 0.5% monthly print at 31%, with a broad distribution reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through versus potential offsets from softening goods prices or shelter moderation. The August data, released just ahead of the September FOMC meeting, has reinforced trader focus on persistent services inflation and any spillover effects into core measures, while the Cleveland Fed nowcast and recent PPI strength add to the range of outcomes priced in.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$932結束日期
2026-10-15市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETElevated energy prices driven by Middle East tensions and surging gasoline costs remain the dominant near-term driver of September 2026 CPI expectations, following August's hotter-than-forecast 0.4% monthly headline rise and 0.3% core gain. These factors, alongside trade frictions and rising consumer inflation expectations, have kept market-implied odds for a 0.5% monthly print at 31%, with a broad distribution reflecting uncertainty over energy pass-through versus potential offsets from softening goods prices or shelter moderation. The August data, released just ahead of the September FOMC meeting, has reinforced trader focus on persistent services inflation and any spillover effects into core measures, while the Cleveland Fed nowcast and recent PPI strength add to the range of outcomes priced in.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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