Skip to main content
icon for TN-04共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

TN-04共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for TN-04共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

TN-04共和黨初選獲勝者

Scott DesJarlais 90%

湯姆·戴維斯 11%

約書亞·詹姆斯 8.9%

哈羅德「洛基」瓊斯 7.9%

Polymarket
最新

Scott DesJarlais 90%

湯姆·戴維斯 11%

約書亞·詹姆斯 8.9%

哈羅德「洛基」瓊斯 7.9%

Polymarket
最新

Scott DesJarlais

$151 交易量

90%

湯姆·戴維斯

$40 交易量

11%

約書亞·詹姆斯

$29 交易量

9%

哈羅德「洛基」瓊斯

$29 交易量

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a clear lead in the August 6, 2026, TN-04 Republican primary, supported by substantial campaign fundraising exceeding $380,000 and a Trump endorsement that bolsters his position among primary voters. The district, redrawn in May 2026, remains strongly Republican with a partisan lean favoring the incumbent, who has won prior primaries by wide margins. Challengers including Tom Davis, Joshua James, and Harold "Rocky" Jones have declared but trail significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the sitting representative, though the short timeline to the primary leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$248
結束日期
2026-08-06
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a clear lead in the August 6, 2026, TN-04 Republican primary, supported by substantial campaign fundraising exceeding $380,000 and a Trump endorsement that bolsters his position among primary voters. The district, redrawn in May 2026, remains strongly Republican with a partisan lean favoring the incumbent, who has won prior primaries by wide margins. Challengers including Tom Davis, Joshua James, and Harold "Rocky" Jones have declared but trail significantly in resources and name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current odds aligns with these structural advantages for the sitting representative, though the short timeline to the primary leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or additional endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$248
結束日期
2026-08-06
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

相關

icon for 強尼·賈雷特會成為田納西第六選區的共和黨提名人嗎？

強尼·賈雷特會成為田納西第六選區的共和黨提名人嗎？

60%
是
icon for Andy Ogles 會成為田納西州第五選區的共和黨提名人嗎？

Andy Ogles 會成為田納西州第五選區的共和黨提名人嗎？

59%
是
icon for 共和黨會贏得田納西州第4選區眾議院席位嗎？

共和黨會贏得田納西州第4選區眾議院席位嗎？

89%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"TN-04共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scott DesJarlais" at 90%, followed by "湯姆·戴維斯" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"TN-04共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "TN-04共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TN-04共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Scott DesJarlais" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "湯姆·戴維斯" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TN-04共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.