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icon for Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

icon for Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

12月 31

12月 31

最新
2026-05-22
Polymarket

$485 交易量

Polymarket

May 22

$211 交易量

32%

May 31

$3 交易量

51%

December 31

$271 交易量

81%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent Pentagon releases of declassified UAP records on May 8, 2026, mark the first major tranche following President Trump’s February directive for broad transparency on unidentified aerial phenomena and extraterrestrial files. This rolling disclosure process, coordinated across agencies and hosted on a dedicated government portal, responds to sustained public interest and congressional pressure, positioning the administration as delivering on long-promised openness. Traders are watching for upcoming batches every few weeks, alongside any official statements or chart-topping cultural reactions that could accelerate momentum. While historical patterns show gradual declassification in similar government transparency efforts, the current narrative of “maximum transparency” and public access without clearances has strengthened consensus around near-term further releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$485
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent Pentagon releases of declassified UAP records on May 8, 2026, mark the first major tranche following President Trump’s February directive for broad transparency on unidentified aerial phenomena and extraterrestrial files. This rolling disclosure process, coordinated across agencies and hosted on a dedicated government portal, responds to sustained public interest and congressional pressure, positioning the administration as delivering on long-promised openness. Traders are watching for upcoming batches every few weeks, alongside any official statements or chart-topping cultural reactions that could accelerate momentum. While historical patterns show gradual declassification in similar government transparency efforts, the current narrative of “maximum transparency” and public access without clearances has strengthened consensus around near-term further releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$485
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 81%, followed by "May 31" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" is "December 31" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 31" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.