The Democratic Party and Progressive Party’s May 15 agreement to select a single Ulsan mayoral candidate through a public-opinion-poll primary between Kim Sang-wook and Kim Jong-hoon has consolidated the liberal vote ahead of the June 3 local elections. Pre-unification surveys placed the combined liberal support near 47 percent against incumbent Kim Doo-kyum’s 37 percent, tightening the race into a three-way contest that now excludes minor independents such as Park Maeng-woo. Traders assign Kim Sang-wook the highest probability because recent polling trends and the upcoming May 23–24 primary favor his selection as the unified nominee, while Kim Doo-kyum retains strong incumbent recognition in the industrial city. This structural consolidation explains the current market pricing, with remaining uncertainty tied to the primary outcome and final campaign dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kim Sang-wook 62%
Kim Doo-kyum 41%
金鍾勳 1.8%
樸孟佑 <1%
$42,528 交易量
$42,528 交易量

Kim Sang-wook
60%

Kim Doo-kyum
41%

金鍾勳
2%

樸孟佑
<1%
Kim Sang-wook 62%
Kim Doo-kyum 41%
金鍾勳 1.8%
樸孟佑 <1%
$42,528 交易量
$42,528 交易量

Kim Sang-wook
60%

Kim Doo-kyum
41%

金鍾勳
2%

樸孟佑
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市場開放時間: Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Party and Progressive Party’s May 15 agreement to select a single Ulsan mayoral candidate through a public-opinion-poll primary between Kim Sang-wook and Kim Jong-hoon has consolidated the liberal vote ahead of the June 3 local elections. Pre-unification surveys placed the combined liberal support near 47 percent against incumbent Kim Doo-kyum’s 37 percent, tightening the race into a three-way contest that now excludes minor independents such as Park Maeng-woo. Traders assign Kim Sang-wook the highest probability because recent polling trends and the upcoming May 23–24 primary favor his selection as the unified nominee, while Kim Doo-kyum retains strong incumbent recognition in the industrial city. This structural consolidation explains the current market pricing, with remaining uncertainty tied to the primary outcome and final campaign dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions