The sustained U.S. policy against direct troop deployment into Gaza underpins the 87% trader consensus against U.S. forces arriving before 2027. Following the October 2025 ceasefire, Washington has limited its role to command oversight of an international stabilization force drawn from countries including Indonesia and Morocco, while explicitly ruling out American combat or security personnel on the ground. Recent reductions in the U.S. military mission near Gaza, including plans to cut personnel from roughly 190 to 40 and shift toward civilian staff, reinforce this boundary. Ongoing Middle East force posture adjustments have instead focused on deterrence elsewhere, leaving the market priced to reflect consistent official statements and the absence of any authorization for U.S. entry into Gaza itself.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$50,136 交易量
$50,136 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$50,136 交易量
$50,136 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The sustained U.S. policy against direct troop deployment into Gaza underpins the 87% trader consensus against U.S. forces arriving before 2027. Following the October 2025 ceasefire, Washington has limited its role to command oversight of an international stabilization force drawn from countries including Indonesia and Morocco, while explicitly ruling out American combat or security personnel on the ground. Recent reductions in the U.S. military mission near Gaza, including plans to cut personnel from roughly 190 to 40 and shift toward civilian staff, reinforce this boundary. Ongoing Middle East force posture adjustments have instead focused on deterrence elsewhere, leaving the market priced to reflect consistent official statements and the absence of any authorization for U.S. entry into Gaza itself.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
交易量
$50,136結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The sustained U.S. policy against direct troop deployment into Gaza underpins the 87% trader consensus against U.S. forces arriving before 2027. Following the October 2025 ceasefire, Washington has limited its role to command oversight of an international stabilization force drawn from countries including Indonesia and Morocco, while explicitly ruling out American combat or security personnel on the ground. Recent reductions in the U.S. military mission near Gaza, including plans to cut personnel from roughly 190 to 40 and shift toward civilian staff, reinforce this boundary. Ongoing Middle East force posture adjustments have instead focused on deterrence elsewhere, leaving the market priced to reflect consistent official statements and the absence of any authorization for U.S. entry into Gaza itself.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$50,136結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The sustained U.S. policy against direct troop deployment into Gaza underpins the 87% trader consensus against U.S. forces arriving before 2027. Following the October 2025 ceasefire, Washington has limited its role to command oversight of an international stabilization force drawn from countries including Indonesia and Morocco, while explicitly ruling out American combat or security personnel on the ground. Recent reductions in the U.S. military mission near Gaza, including plans to cut personnel from roughly 190 to 40 and shift toward civilian staff, reinforce this boundary. Ongoing Middle East force posture adjustments have instead focused on deterrence elsewhere, leaving the market priced to reflect consistent official statements and the absence of any authorization for U.S. entry into Gaza itself.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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