U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not enter Gaza, directing instead toward an International Stabilization Force drawn from other nations to support post-ceasefire security and reconstruction. Recent developments, including the planned closure of a U.S.-led monitoring mission near Gaza and stalled efforts to secure broad international troop commitments, have reinforced this stance amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations under the Trump administration. U.S. military assets remain positioned in the broader Middle East for regional contingencies, yet policy signals and coalition-building priorities continue to favor non-U.S. personnel for any Gaza-based role through 2026. Traders assign an 87 percent probability to no deployment before 2027 because these constraints have held despite shifting dynamics in the Israel-Hamas ceasefire.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$50,136 交易量
$50,136 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$50,136 交易量
$50,136 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not enter Gaza, directing instead toward an International Stabilization Force drawn from other nations to support post-ceasefire security and reconstruction. Recent developments, including the planned closure of a U.S.-led monitoring mission near Gaza and stalled efforts to secure broad international troop commitments, have reinforced this stance amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations under the Trump administration. U.S. military assets remain positioned in the broader Middle East for regional contingencies, yet policy signals and coalition-building priorities continue to favor non-U.S. personnel for any Gaza-based role through 2026. Traders assign an 87 percent probability to no deployment before 2027 because these constraints have held despite shifting dynamics in the Israel-Hamas ceasefire.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
交易量
$50,136結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not enter Gaza, directing instead toward an International Stabilization Force drawn from other nations to support post-ceasefire security and reconstruction. Recent developments, including the planned closure of a U.S.-led monitoring mission near Gaza and stalled efforts to secure broad international troop commitments, have reinforced this stance amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations under the Trump administration. U.S. military assets remain positioned in the broader Middle East for regional contingencies, yet policy signals and coalition-building priorities continue to favor non-U.S. personnel for any Gaza-based role through 2026. Traders assign an 87 percent probability to no deployment before 2027 because these constraints have held despite shifting dynamics in the Israel-Hamas ceasefire.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$50,136結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not enter Gaza, directing instead toward an International Stabilization Force drawn from other nations to support post-ceasefire security and reconstruction. Recent developments, including the planned closure of a U.S.-led monitoring mission near Gaza and stalled efforts to secure broad international troop commitments, have reinforced this stance amid ongoing diplomatic negotiations under the Trump administration. U.S. military assets remain positioned in the broader Middle East for regional contingencies, yet policy signals and coalition-building priorities continue to favor non-U.S. personnel for any Gaza-based role through 2026. Traders assign an 87 percent probability to no deployment before 2027 because these constraints have held despite shifting dynamics in the Israel-Hamas ceasefire.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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