U.S. officials have repeatedly stated there are no plans to deploy American troops into Gaza, instead advancing an International Stabilization Force (ISF) composed of personnel from countries including Morocco, Kosovo, Albania, and others under a U.S.-led Board of Peace framework. Recent developments include stalled ISF implementation amid Israeli elections scheduled for late October 2026, limited initial deployments to bases outside Gaza proper, and confirmed U.S. funding for equipment without ground force commitments. Ongoing regional military focus on Iran operations and withdrawals elsewhere, combined with explicit Pentagon clarifications ruling out U.S. personnel in the Strip, have reinforced trader consensus that direct American forces are unlikely before the 2027 deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
7% 機率
$185,900 交易量
$185,900 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 機率
$185,900 交易量
$185,900 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated there are no plans to deploy American troops into Gaza, instead advancing an International Stabilization Force (ISF) composed of personnel from countries including Morocco, Kosovo, Albania, and others under a U.S.-led Board of Peace framework. Recent developments include stalled ISF implementation amid Israeli elections scheduled for late October 2026, limited initial deployments to bases outside Gaza proper, and confirmed U.S. funding for equipment without ground force commitments. Ongoing regional military focus on Iran operations and withdrawals elsewhere, combined with explicit Pentagon clarifications ruling out U.S. personnel in the Strip, have reinforced trader consensus that direct American forces are unlikely before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
交易量
$185,900結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have repeatedly stated there are no plans to deploy American troops into Gaza, instead advancing an International Stabilization Force (ISF) composed of personnel from countries including Morocco, Kosovo, Albania, and others under a U.S.-led Board of Peace framework. Recent developments include stalled ISF implementation amid Israeli elections scheduled for late October 2026, limited initial deployments to bases outside Gaza proper, and confirmed U.S. funding for equipment without ground force commitments. Ongoing regional military focus on Iran operations and withdrawals elsewhere, combined with explicit Pentagon clarifications ruling out U.S. personnel in the Strip, have reinforced trader consensus that direct American forces are unlikely before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$185,900結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETU.S. officials have repeatedly stated there are no plans to deploy American troops into Gaza, instead advancing an International Stabilization Force (ISF) composed of personnel from countries including Morocco, Kosovo, Albania, and others under a U.S.-led Board of Peace framework. Recent developments include stalled ISF implementation amid Israeli elections scheduled for late October 2026, limited initial deployments to bases outside Gaza proper, and confirmed U.S. funding for equipment without ground force commitments. Ongoing regional military focus on Iran operations and withdrawals elsewhere, combined with explicit Pentagon clarifications ruling out U.S. personnel in the Strip, have reinforced trader consensus that direct American forces are unlikely before the 2027 deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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