Utah's 4th congressional district leans heavily Republican following recent redistricting that shifted boundaries to include more conservative areas in western Utah and parts of Salt Lake and Utah counties, where Donald Trump carried the seat by a wide margin in the prior presidential contest. Burgess Owens's March 2026 retirement opened the race, allowing Mike Kennedy to transfer from the neighboring district and secure the Republican nomination without a contested primary. The Democratic primary also produced a single nominee with limited visibility in a state where all House seats have remained in Republican hands. These structural factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing, with any shift likely requiring a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,070 交易量
$41,070 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$41,070 交易量
$41,070 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$15,673 交易量
95%
Democratic Party
$25,397 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district leans heavily Republican following recent redistricting that shifted boundaries to include more conservative areas in western Utah and parts of Salt Lake and Utah counties, where Donald Trump carried the seat by a wide margin in the prior presidential contest. Burgess Owens's March 2026 retirement opened the race, allowing Mike Kennedy to transfer from the neighboring district and secure the Republican nomination without a contested primary. The Democratic primary also produced a single nominee with limited visibility in a state where all House seats have remained in Republican hands. These structural factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing, with any shift likely requiring a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$41,070結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district leans heavily Republican following recent redistricting that shifted boundaries to include more conservative areas in western Utah and parts of Salt Lake and Utah counties, where Donald Trump carried the seat by a wide margin in the prior presidential contest. Burgess Owens's March 2026 retirement opened the race, allowing Mike Kennedy to transfer from the neighboring district and secure the Republican nomination without a contested primary. The Democratic primary also produced a single nominee with limited visibility in a state where all House seats have remained in Republican hands. These structural factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing, with any shift likely requiring a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,070結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district leans heavily Republican following recent redistricting that shifted boundaries to include more conservative areas in western Utah and parts of Salt Lake and Utah counties, where Donald Trump carried the seat by a wide margin in the prior presidential contest. Burgess Owens's March 2026 retirement opened the race, allowing Mike Kennedy to transfer from the neighboring district and secure the Republican nomination without a contested primary. The Democratic primary also produced a single nominee with limited visibility in a state where all House seats have remained in Republican hands. These structural factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing, with any shift likely requiring a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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