維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Name: 維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者
Start: 2025-11-27T00:08:31.965Z
End: 2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z

Bert Mizusawa 48%

Kim Farington 30.3%

大衛·威廉斯 11%

Alex De Paula 2.5%

$2,402,695 交易量

2026-06-16

Bert Mizusawa

$10,875 交易量

48%

Kim Farington

$457,248 交易量

30%

大衛·威廉斯

$14,405 交易量

11%

Alex De Paula

$3,642 交易量

Chuck Smith

$5,309 交易量

Bryce Reeves

$37,826 交易量

Al Mina

$1,847,163 交易量

溫森·厄爾-西爾斯

$11,035 交易量

傑森·米亞雷斯

$15,190 交易量

<1%

Bert Mizusawa 48%

Kim Farington 30.3%

大衛·威廉斯 11%

Alex De Paula 2.5%

$2,402,695 交易量

2026-06-16

Bert Mizusawa

$10,875 交易量

48%

Kim Farington

$457,248 交易量

30%

大衛·威廉斯

$14,405 交易量

11%

Alex De Paula

$3,642 交易量

Chuck Smith

$5,309 交易量

Bryce Reeves

$37,826 交易量

Al Mina

$1,847,163 交易量

溫森·厄爾-西爾斯

$11,035 交易量

傑森·米亞雷斯

$15,190 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Retired Army Maj. Gen. Bert Mizusawa holds the leading position in Virginia's August 4 Republican U.S. Senate primary at 48% implied probability, reflecting his top fundraising total above $192,000 and a narrow edge in the most recent Public Sentiment Institute survey of likely voters. The Republican Party of Virginia's recent certification of Mizusawa along with Kim Farington and David Williams has clarified the qualifying field ahead of the contest to challenge incumbent Sen. Mark Warner. Farington's cybersecurity background supports her second-place standing at 30.6%, while David Williams trails at 10.5% amid limited statewide name recognition and undecided rates near 40% in available polling. A pending lawsuit for Chuck Smith and the low single-digit shares for figures such as Jason Miyares and Winsome Earle-Sears highlight the absence of major endorsements or debates that could shift momentum before the primary.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於 2026年5月17日下午8:16 [UTC]

May 14 2026

Bert Mizusawa maintains lead in final days before Virginia GOP primary

Bert Mizusawa rises to 52%4%

As the primary approached, Bert Mizusawa held a steady lead with a market price around 52%, indicating strong positioning to win the nomination despite fluctuations earlier in the campaign.

May 6 2026

Kim Farington surges after campaign revitalization

Kim Farington surges to 37%22%

Kim Farington's campaign saw a resurgence due to new endorsements and increased media coverage, causing his market price to jump from 15% to 37%.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於 2026年5月17日下午8:16 [UTC]

May 14 2026

Bert Mizusawa maintains lead in final days before Virginia GOP primary

Bert Mizusawa rises to 52%4%

As the primary approached, Bert Mizusawa held a steady lead with a market price around 52%, indicating strong positioning to win the nomination despite fluctuations earlier in the campaign.

May 6 2026

Kim Farington surges after campaign revitalization

Kim Farington surges to 37%22%

Kim Farington's campaign saw a resurgence due to new endorsements and increased media coverage, causing his market price to jump from 15% to 37%.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bert Mizusawa" at 48%, followed by "Kim Farington" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Bert Mizusawa" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kim Farington" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $2.4 million traded on “維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 48¢ for "Bert Mizusawa" in the "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 48% chance that "Bert Mizusawa" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 48¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 52¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 16, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market has a growing discussion of 6 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (6)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者"?

What are the current odds for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者"?

How will "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" be resolved?

Can I follow "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者"?

What does a price of 48¢ for "Bert Mizusawa" mean?

When does the "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" market close?

What are traders saying about "維吉尼亞州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者"?

What is Polymarket?