The August 11, 2026, Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor features a tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Assemblymember Francesca Hong, with the other two candidates trailing far behind. Vote counting remains incomplete the morning after Election Day, particularly in Milwaukee County where absentee ballot processing faced delays from administrative issues. This has kept the margin narrow enough that the Associated Press has not yet projected a winner. Traders focus on the pace of remaining ballot tabulation, the size of any final lead, and AP’s threshold for declaring a race called once one candidate’s path to victory is eliminated. Historical patterns show AP typically waits for sufficient vote share and geographic coverage before projecting statewide primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-08-12
8月12日凌晨3點前
<1%
8月12日凌晨4點之前
100%
8月12日凌晨5點前
100%
8月12日上午10點前
100%
$931 交易量
8月12日凌晨3點前
$187 交易量
<1%
8月12日凌晨4點之前
$178 交易量
100%
8月12日凌晨5點前
$161 交易量
100%
8月12日上午10點前
$161 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11, 2026, Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor features a tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Assemblymember Francesca Hong, with the other two candidates trailing far behind. Vote counting remains incomplete the morning after Election Day, particularly in Milwaukee County where absentee ballot processing faced delays from administrative issues. This has kept the margin narrow enough that the Associated Press has not yet projected a winner. Traders focus on the pace of remaining ballot tabulation, the size of any final lead, and AP’s threshold for declaring a race called once one candidate’s path to victory is eliminated. Historical patterns show AP typically waits for sufficient vote share and geographic coverage before projecting statewide primaries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$931結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11, 2026, Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor features a tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Assemblymember Francesca Hong, with the other two candidates trailing far behind. Vote counting remains incomplete the morning after Election Day, particularly in Milwaukee County where absentee ballot processing faced delays from administrative issues. This has kept the margin narrow enough that the Associated Press has not yet projected a winner. Traders focus on the pace of remaining ballot tabulation, the size of any final lead, and AP’s threshold for declaring a race called once one candidate’s path to victory is eliminated. Historical patterns show AP typically waits for sufficient vote share and geographic coverage before projecting statewide primaries.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).
The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.
Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.
A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
交易量
$931結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The August 11, 2026, Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor features a tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Assemblymember Francesca Hong, with the other two candidates trailing far behind. Vote counting remains incomplete the morning after Election Day, particularly in Milwaukee County where absentee ballot processing faced delays from administrative issues. This has kept the margin narrow enough that the Associated Press has not yet projected a winner. Traders focus on the pace of remaining ballot tabulation, the size of any final lead, and AP’s threshold for declaring a race called once one candidate’s path to victory is eliminated. Historical patterns show AP typically waits for sufficient vote share and geographic coverage before projecting statewide primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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