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icon for 哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職？
經濟艙·大型科技公司

哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職？

icon for 哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職？
經濟艙·大型科技公司

哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職？

$710,250 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$710,250 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Sundar Pichai - Google

Sundar Pichai - Google

$40,873 交易量

10%

icon for Andy Jassy - 亞馬遜

Andy Jassy - 亞馬遜

$29,383 交易量

9%

icon for Sam Altman - OpenAI

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$94,938 交易量

9%

icon for Dan Clancy - Twitch

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$44,136 交易量

8%

icon for Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$83,933 交易量

7%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Apple's April 2026 announcement that Tim Cook will move to executive chairman on September 1, with hardware engineering lead John Ternus stepping in as CEO, has driven near-certain market odds on his departure before 2027. This planned transition amid Apple's push to integrate advanced AI features across hardware and services stands in contrast to stable leadership signals elsewhere, such as Elon Musk's commitment to remain Tesla CEO through 2030 and limited succession activity at Alphabet or Amazon. Traders assign lower probabilities to outcomes involving Sam Altman or Andy Jassy, reflecting fewer confirmed catalysts. With the Apple change now weeks away and no major regulatory or competitive shocks altering other tenures, the market continues to price the single high-confidence exit while discounting speculative turnover tied to AI competition or earnings pressure.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
交易量
$710,250
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Apple's April 2026 announcement that Tim Cook will move to executive chairman on September 1, with hardware engineering lead John Ternus stepping in as CEO, has driven near-certain market odds on his departure before 2027. This planned transition amid Apple's push to integrate advanced AI features across hardware and services stands in contrast to stable leadership signals elsewhere, such as Elon Musk's commitment to remain Tesla CEO through 2030 and limited succession activity at Alphabet or Amazon. Traders assign lower probabilities to outcomes involving Sam Altman or Andy Jassy, reflecting fewer confirmed catalysts. With the Apple change now weeks away and no major regulatory or competitive shocks altering other tenures, the market continues to price the single high-confidence exit while discounting speculative turnover tied to AI competition or earnings pressure.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
交易量
$710,250
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蒂姆·庫克－蘋果" at 100%, followed by "Sundar Pichai - Google" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職？" has generated $710.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職？" is "蒂姆·庫克－蘋果" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sundar Pichai - Google" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪些CEO將在2027年之前離職？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.