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icon for 誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？
政治·加州州長

誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？

icon for 誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？
政治·加州州長

誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？

$2,179,775 交易量

2026-06-01
Polymarket

$2,179,775 交易量

Polymarket

Derek Grasty

$32,779 交易量

否

伊桑·阿加瓦爾

$4,310 交易量

否

哈維爾·貝塞拉

$203,457 交易量

是

卡羅琳娜·布勒

$9,323 交易量

否

伊恩·卡爾德龍

$117,404 交易量

否

佐爾坦·伊斯特萬

$12,545 交易量

否

雷霆·帕利

$57,401 交易量

否

凱蒂·波特

$15,602 交易量

否

拉吉·拉布

$15,353 交易量

否

湯姆·斯泰爾

$620,452 交易量

否

埃里克·斯沃威爾

$158,059 交易量

否

Tony Thurmond

$17,599 交易量

否

安東尼奧·維亞拉戈薩

$20,606 交易量

否

貝蒂·易

$5,754 交易量

否

Dylan Colbert

$19,066 交易量

否

Ché Ahn

$20,819 交易量

否

查德·比安科

$131,337 交易量

否

蘇菲亞·布林克

$38,344 交易量

否

Sharifah Hardie

$3,773 交易量

否

史蒂夫·希爾頓

$491,351 交易量

是

布蘭登·瓊斯

$52,464 交易量

否

Kyle Langford

$12,393 交易量

否

丹尼爾·梅庫里

$11,205 交易量

否

吉米·帕克

$2,524 交易量

否

大衛·瑟帕

$5,374 交易量

否

Leo Zacky

$10,539 交易量

否

Javen Allen

$4,789 交易量

否

Ryan Tillman

$2,425 交易量

否

David Thelen

$1,897 交易量

否

Leonard Jackson

$5,258 交易量

否

拉姆齊·羅賓遜

$7,366 交易量

否

尼古拉斯·湯普森

$8,372 交易量

否

Butch Ware

$12,158 交易量

否

尼姬·米娜

$4,458 交易量

否

Matt Mahan

$41,312 交易量

否

Elaine Culotti

$1,908 交易量

否

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton secured the top two spots in California’s June 2 top-two primary for governor, advancing to the November general election under the state’s nonpartisan system. Becerra consolidated Democratic support after Eric Swalwell exited the race, leveraging his experience as former attorney general and U.S. health secretary amid a crowded field that included Tom Steyer and Katie Porter. On the Republican side, Trump’s endorsement helped Hilton, a former Fox News host, pull ahead of Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco. Pre-primary polls showed Becerra in the lead with Hilton and Steyer competing closely for second, and early vote counts confirmed this ordering as ballots were tallied. No major scheduled events remain that would alter the primary outcome.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$2,179,775
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton secured the top two spots in California’s June 2 top-two primary for governor, advancing to the November general election under the state’s nonpartisan system. Becerra consolidated Democratic support after Eric Swalwell exited the race, leveraging his experience as former attorney general and U.S. health secretary amid a crowded field that included Tom Steyer and Katie Porter. On the Republican side, Trump’s endorsement helped Hilton, a former Fox News host, pull ahead of Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco. Pre-primary polls showed Becerra in the lead with Hilton and Steyer competing closely for second, and early vote counts confirmed this ordering as ballots were tallied. No major scheduled events remain that would alter the primary outcome.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$2,179,775
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "哈維爾·貝塞拉" at 100%, followed by "史蒂夫·希爾頓" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？" is "哈維爾·貝塞拉" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "史蒂夫·希爾頓" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.