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icon for 誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？
政治·主要

誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？

icon for 誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？
政治·主要

誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？

$663,275 交易量

2026-06-02
Polymarket

$663,275 交易量

Polymarket

史蒂夫·希爾頓

$42,241 交易量

74%

哈維爾·貝塞拉

$14,308 交易量

68%

湯姆·斯泰爾

$26,279 交易量

51%

Matt Mahan

$23,136 交易量

7%

Javen Allen

$1,161 交易量

5%

查德·比安科

$34,432 交易量

3%

吉米·帕克

$1,453 交易量

3%

Kyle Langford

$11,755 交易量

2%

凱蒂·波特

$11,692 交易量

2%

David Thelen

$1,327 交易量

2%

丹尼爾·梅庫里

$10,772 交易量

2%

Ryan Tillman

$1,991 交易量

2%

Ché Ahn

$18,442 交易量

2%

安東尼奧·維亞拉戈薩

$13,394 交易量

2%

伊恩·卡爾德龍

$114,143 交易量

2%

伊桑·阿加瓦爾

$3,522 交易量

1%

雷霆·帕利

$53,760 交易量

1%

Elaine Culotti

$525 交易量

1%

佐爾坦·伊斯特萬

$12,280 交易量

1%

貝蒂·易

$5,090 交易量

1%

拉吉·拉布

$7,425 交易量

1%

布蘭登·瓊斯

$42,159 交易量

1%

卡羅琳娜·布勒

$8,811 交易量

1%

Leonard Jackson

$3,821 交易量

1%

Butch Ware

$8,550 交易量

1%

埃里克·斯沃威爾

$73,919 交易量

1%

Derek Grasty

$23,467 交易量

1%

蘇菲亞·布林克

$37,863 交易量

1%

大衛·瑟帕

$4,924 交易量

1%

拉姆齊·羅賓遜

$4,581 交易量

1%

尼古拉斯·湯普森

$7,072 交易量

1%

Tony Thurmond

$12,064 交易量

1%

Leo Zacky

$6,433 交易量

1%

Dylan Colbert

$14,920 交易量

1%

Sharifah Hardie

$1,506 交易量

<1%

尼姬·米娜

$4,055 交易量

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's top-two primary on June 2 has created a competitive environment in which a fragmented Democratic field risks splitting votes and allowing two Republicans to advance. Recent Emerson polling shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra leading with 19 percent, followed closely by Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17 percent each, with Chad Bianco, Katie Porter, and others trailing. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal after allegations has begun consolidating Democratic support, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton may help unify Republican voters behind one candidate. The economy and housing affordability remain top voter concerns as mail-in voting starts and additional debates occur before the June ballot.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$663,275
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.California's top-two primary on June 2 has created a competitive environment in which a fragmented Democratic field risks splitting votes and allowing two Republicans to advance. Recent Emerson polling shows former HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra leading with 19 percent, followed closely by Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17 percent each, with Chad Bianco, Katie Porter, and others trailing. Eric Swalwell's withdrawal after allegations has begun consolidating Democratic support, while President Trump's endorsement of Hilton may help unify Republican voters behind one candidate. The economy and housing affordability remain top voter concerns as mail-in voting starts and additional debates occur before the June ballot.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$663,275
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "史蒂夫·希爾頓" at 74%, followed by "哈維爾·貝塞拉" at 68%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？" has generated $663.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？" is "史蒂夫·希爾頓" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "哈維爾·貝塞拉" at 68%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將從加州州長初選中晉升？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.