The confirmed bilateral summit between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing from May 13 to 15 has anchored trader consensus around that outcome, reflecting the first presidential visit to China in nearly a decade and direct discussions on trade tariffs, semiconductor controls, Taiwan, and the Iran conflict. White House schedules and pool reports show Trump returning to the United States on May 15, with no comparable high-level foreign engagements announced for the remainder of the month. Lower probabilities attached to other figures, including Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu or domestic advisors such as Elon Musk, stem from the absence of verified bilateral meetings or official statements confirming May timing. Any late-month developments, such as additional Oval Office sessions or travel within the resolution window ending May 31, could still shift remaining shares, though current schedules emphasize domestic policy events and executive actions over new foreign leader summits.