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icon for 英國會在6月30日前將IRGC指定為恐怖組織嗎？

英國會在6月30日前將IRGC指定為恐怖組織嗎？

icon for 英國會在6月30日前將IRGC指定為恐怖組織嗎？

英國會在6月30日前將IRGC指定為恐怖組織嗎？

是

4% 機率
Polymarket

$97,499 交易量

是

4% 機率
Polymarket

$97,499 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.UK government statements and parliamentary records show no active process underway for designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps under the Terrorism Act 2000 by the end of June, with officials repeatedly citing legal and procedural hurdles that have delayed similar actions despite pressure from allies and domestic groups. The National Security (State Threats) Bill, introduced on 9 June 2026 to create new designation powers for state-linked entities, remains in early legislative stages and is not expected to enable immediate proscription. Trader consensus at 95.7% on no designation by 30 June reflects the time required for parliamentary scrutiny, committee review, and royal assent. Late developments such as a major security incident tied directly to the IRGC or an accelerated all-party agreement could still shift the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
交易量
$97,499
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.UK government statements and parliamentary records show no active process underway for designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps under the Terrorism Act 2000 by the end of June, with officials repeatedly citing legal and procedural hurdles that have delayed similar actions despite pressure from allies and domestic groups. The National Security (State Threats) Bill, introduced on 9 June 2026 to create new designation powers for state-linked entities, remains in early legislative stages and is not expected to enable immediate proscription. Trader consensus at 95.7% on no designation by 30 June reflects the time required for parliamentary scrutiny, committee review, and royal assent. Late developments such as a major security incident tied directly to the IRGC or an accelerated all-party agreement could still shift the timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.
交易量
$97,499
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom government formally designates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This includes designation as a proscribed terrorist group or organisation according to the UK Home Office, as well as the use of Royal Prerogative Powers or Orders in Council, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new national designation that formally designates the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Statements by government officials, including the Prime Minister, Home Office, or National Crime Service, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting or official information from the UK Government.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"英國會在6月30日前將IRGC指定為恐怖組織嗎？ " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "到6月30日，英國會將伊斯蘭革命衛隊（IRGC）指定為恐怖組織嗎？" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "英國會在6月30日前將IRGC指定為恐怖組織嗎？ " has generated $97.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "英國會在6月30日前將IRGC指定為恐怖組織嗎？ ," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "英國會在6月30日前將IRGC指定為恐怖組織嗎？ " is "到6月30日，英國會將伊斯蘭革命衛隊（IRGC）指定為恐怖組織嗎？" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "英國會在6月30日前將IRGC指定為恐怖組織嗎？ " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.